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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2008 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Update *

Prediction: NYG 20, WAS 13

Update: Plaxico Burress is out as expected and Brandon Jacobs was held out of practice on Wednesday to rest his knee but then had full days the rest of the week. He is listed as questionable but is expected to play. Barring anything unexpected, he is safe to start. Ahmad Bradshaw is likely to be held out though with a sore neck.

Clinton Portis was held out of practice every day this week and will be a game time decision because of his oblique and knee injuries. I am leaving him in the projections since the situation was similar last week and he had a big game. Check the inactives but Portis is a must start until he is a lock to miss the game.

The Giants have been on a roll the entire season with only the one trap game in Cleveland to mar an otherwise perfect record. The Redskins are three games back and tied with the Cowboys at 7-4 and yet are only 3-3 at home this year. The Giants may put it into coast mode at some point but not yet.

The Giants won their home opener 16-7 when the Redskins came to New York.

New York Giants (10-1)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 WAS 16-7 -3.5 41
2 @STL 41-13 -8.5 41.5
3 CIN 26-23 -13.5 42
4 BYE - - -
5 SEA 44-6 -7 43.5
6 @CLE 14-35 -8 43
7 SF 29-17 -10.5 45
8 @PIT 21-14 +2.5 42
9 DAL 35-14 -8.5 41
10 @PHI 36-31 +3 43.5
11 BAL 30-10 -6.5 42
12 @ARZ 37-29 -3 49
13 @WAS - -3.5 41.5
14 PHI - - -
15 @DAL - - -
16 CAR - - -
17 @MIN - - -
NYG @ WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning     180,1
RB Brandon Jacobs 70,1 10  
TE Kevin Boss   50,1  
WR Domenik Hixon   50  
WR Amani Toomer   30  
WR Steve Smith   20  
PK John Carney 2 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Giants lead the league with 329 points scored and yet are 5th best in points allowed. Each of the last four games have scored over 30 points and there appears no stopping the Giants from assuming the #1 seed in the NFC which will be a big change from 2007 when they snuck in as a wildcard and then cut down every favored opponent each week. The schedule is not going to get any easier but so far the Giants are the elite of the conference if not league. They just won in Arizona without using Burress or Jacobs.

One side note - The Giants are still not sticking with one kicker and after Tynes was the kicker in week 11, Carney was used in week 12 and went 3 for 3 on field goals. I will project for Carney but check the game time inactives to be sure.

Quarterback: Eli Manning comes off one of his best games of the year when he passed for 240 yards and three scores in Arizona but he has consistently had better marks on the road this year when the rushing game is less effective. Brandon Jacobs should return this week which helps the offense overall more than the passing game and Burress is still a question mark but Manning didn't need him last week.

Manning passed for 216 yards against the visiting Redskins this year. It was his only game without a passing score.

Running Backs: Although Brandon Jacobs was a late scratch last week because of his knee, HC Tom Coughlin was optimistic about his chances to play in this game and realistically it was better to save Jacobs for this three game stretch though the NFC East than use him in Arizona. I will assume that Jacobs can play with little limitation this week and update if needed.

Derrick Ward will start if Jacobs cannot play and the offense doesn't drop that much with the switch. Ward had a score last week in Arizona.

Jacobs rushed for 116 yards on 21 carries against the Skins this year.

Wide Receivers: Plaxico Burress served up the ultimate insult to fantasy owners when he was injured last week before making a catch. His hamstring continues to be a lingering issue and other than a few touchdowns along the way, Burress has lost all fantasy value this year and never exceeded 50 yards in the last seven weeks. I will assume that Domenik Hixon takes the start until Burress is cleared to play and practices.

Amani Toomer and Steve Smith mix in each week but rarely for a score and even less for a game over 50 yards. Outside of one game for Burress and Hixon, these wideouts have never had much fantasy impact this year.

Burress had ten receptions for 133 yards against the Skins this year. It was his only big game.

Tight Ends: Manning hasn't used Kevin Boss for much yardage but he has four touchdowns over the last five games and been above 30 yards when he does score. His one non-scoring game was a skunk with no catches but he usually serves up a score.

Match Against the Defense: The Redskins rush defense has been very good this year though both Parker and Barber have recently scored there and had decent yardage in Washington. Assuming that Jacobs knee is healed up, look for a score and good yardage here but not likely a big game since the Giants will want to get a lead and then likely rest Jacobs if they can.

Manning faces a solid secondary that has allowed usually one passing score per week and no opponent has thrown for over 216 yards in Washington this year including Brees, Warner and Romo. One touchdown can happen but it won't have a lot of yards with it and Manning should return to his mediocre passing ways.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 15 1 13 16 1 8
Preventing Fantasy Points    WAS 7 7 7 6 5 12

Washington Redskins (7-4)
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @NYG 7-16 +3.5 41
2 NO 29-24 -1 42.5
3 ARZ 24-17 -3 42
4 @DAL 26-24 +11.5 46
5 @PHI 23-17 +5 43
6 STL 17-19 -13.5 44
7 CLE 14-11 -7.5 42.5
8 @DET 25-17 -8 43.5
9 PIT 6-23 -1.5 37
10 BYE - - -
11 DAL 10-14 +1.5 43
12 @SEA 20-17 -3.5 41.5
13 NYG - +3.5 41.5
14 @BAL - - -
15 @CIN - - -
16 PHI - - -
17 @SF - - -
WAS vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     180,1
RB Clinton Portis 80 20  
TE Chris Cooley   60  
WR Santana Moss   40  
WR Antwaan Randle El   40,1  
WR Devin Thomas   20  
PK Shaun Suisham 2 FG 1 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Redskins got a much needed win in Seattle but only be three points as the offense struggled for the third week in a row. Facing the Giants and then the Ravens will not make it any easier to score points though the final three games of the season lighten up nicely. The Redskins offense has never produced more than 29 points in any game this year and no more than 20 in five of the last six thanks only to the Lions. At 7-4 they remain in the thick of a wildcard chase but the next two weeks are critical for them.

Quarterback: The development of Jason Campbell started on a high note earlier in the season when teams were still trying to figure out the new offense but he' settled down to being what he always has been - about 200 yards and a score in most games. He has ten touchdowns on the season and has been little more than a game manager.

Campbell passed for 133 yards and one score in New York this year.

Running Backs: Clinton Portis leads all NFL rushers with 1206 yards which is a testament to his toughness since he has been playing injured with a sore knee and yet had six games over 100 yards including last week in Seattle. He hasn't scored since week seven but even when his knee has bothered him, he just added more catches. Last week Portis added sore ribs to his list of dings and his strained chest muscle will likely earn him some rest time during the week instead of practicing. I will assume that Portis can play with little or no limitation this week since he has been such a warrior this season.

Portis ran for 84 yards on 23 carries against the Giants this year.

Wide Receivers: The decline in passing numbers in recent weeks has seen Santana Moss with mediocre numbers for three weeks and his only decent games in the last eight games has been against soft teams like the Lions or Browns. Antwaan Randle El had his second score on the year when he caught just two passes for 28 yards in Seattle but had one touchdown. What little happens with this unit happens to Moss or doesn't happen at all.

Moss had five catches for 37 yards and one score in New York this year while Randle El caught seven passes for 73 yards.

Tight Ends: Chris Cooley only managed one catch against the Giants this year but that was by far his worst game. Cooley has been consistently over 50 yards each week even though he only has one touchdown on the season.

Match Against the Defense: The Giants bring in the best rushing defense in the NFL and have yet to allow any runner to top 88 yards against them this season and only four have scored a touchdown. This week look for the banged up Portis to slip back a bit and have only a mediocre game. If they use him as a receiver it would help but the chest injury could e a problem there.

No reason to expect more from Campbell than he ever does, the only real question is where the one touchdown ends up. The Giants will look to bottle up Moss and take away the preferred target for Campbell so I will credit Randle El with the score but the confidence is low there. It could go anywhere and yet not to Cooley who faces the #2 defense against tight ends.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 25 14 20 12 18 31
Preventing Fantasy Points    NYG 10 1 23 2 4 3

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