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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2008 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
* updated

Prediction: STL 10, ARI 27

This rematch should prove to be no major task for the Cardinals but it is interesting taht the only other time the Rams were double digit under dogs was when the Redskins were favored by the same 13.5 points. And the Rams won that game. We still are not certain how.

The Cardinals won 34-13 when the visited St. Louis back in week nine.

St. Louis Rams (2-10)
Homefield: Edward Jones Dome
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @PHI 3-38 +7 44
2 NYG 13-41 +8.5 41.5
3 @SEA 13-37 +10 44
4 BUF 14-31 +8 41.5
5 BYE - - -
6 @WAS 19-17 +13.5 44
7 DAL 34-14 +7 44
8 @NE 16-23 +7 43.5
9 ARZ 13-34 +3 49
10 @NYJ 3-47 +8.5 44.5
11 @SF 16-35 +6 44.5
12 CHI 3-27 +9 43
13 MIA 12-16 +7.5 43.5
14 @ARZ - +13.5 49
15 SEA - - -
16 SF - - -
17 @ATL - - -
STL @ ARI Rush Catch Pass
QB Marc Bulger     170,1
RB Steven Jackson 60 40  
WR Torry Holt   50,1  
WR Donnie Avery   40  
WR Dane Looker   20  
PK Josh Brown 1 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Rams are still on their six game losing streak and hit the road where they are only 1-5. To their benefit, teams do not take them seriously anymore and that can result in a game that looks close in score even though the outcome was never in doubt. This should have been a time of fantasy point feasting with the Cardinals, Seahawks and 49ers up next but by now it is the Rams who are the roadside kill. The Rams have not scored more than 16 points in the last six weeks and only twice all year.

Quarterback: Marc Bulger passed for 186 yards and two touchdowns and two interceptions against the Cardinals this year and in the four games since he has only thrown for one score and six interceptions and lost two more fumbles. Bulger has become so inexplicably bad this year that he currently has only seven touchdowns, 11 interceptions, four lost fumbles and been sacked 30 times. And there is no end in sight.

Running Backs: An unexpected bright spot last week was that Steven Jackson suited up for the first time since week nine and ran strongly with 21 carries for 94 yards. His last playing time was when he got injured and only gained 17 yards on seven runs against the Cardinals. Jackson's injured thigh was sore after the game but not expected to be an issue this week.

Jackson has only played in three road games this year and topped out at 79 rushing yards and never scoring away from St. Louis.

Wide Receivers: Torry Holt only had 30 yards against the Dolphins but he has four other games with lesser results. Holt only has two scores on the year and and has lost his value as a fantasy starter. Unless you can live with 50 yards per week, Holt no longer merits fantasy attention.

Donnie Avery injured his hip but it is not expected to be an issue this week. Avery has only a couple of notable games this year and none since week 11.

Holt had six catches for 58 yards and one score versus the Cards this year.

Tight Ends: No fantasy value.

Match Against the Defense: This game did not go well for the Rams when it was played back in St. Louis and now is in Arizona? Jackson being back will be a boost and the Cardials are only average against the run overall but in the desert they have not allowed any opposing runner to gain more than 56 yards. Hope for some receiving yardage to give Jackson a decent game.

Bulger two scores against the Cards earlier this year but in the desert the Cards are much tougher with only nine scores allowed as opposed to 17 in road games. Bulger should throw for one here and he could have two but the Rams are battling motivation by now and the Cardinals are very much alive in the playoff hunt. The Rams only had two scores last time because Derek Stanley caught a 80 yard touchdown. Otherwise it was only 106 passing yards.

Gaining Fantasy Points STL 31 30 20 31 23 28
Preventing Fantasy Points    ARI 32 18 30 13 13 19

Arizona Cardinals (7-5)
Homefield: University of Phoenix Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @SF 23-13 -2.5 41.5
2 MIA 31-10 -7 38.5
3 @WAS 17-24 +3 42
4 @NYJ 35-56 +3 45
5 BUF 41-17 -1 45
6 DAL 30-26 +5 50
7 BYE - - -
8 @CAR 23-27 +4.5 43.5
9 @STL 34-13 -3 49
10 SF 29-24 -9.5 47.5
11 @SEA 26-20 -3.5 47.5
12 NYG 29-37 +3 49
13 @PHI 20-48 +3 47
14 STL - -13.5 49
15 MIN - - -
16 @NE - - -
17 SEA - - -
ARI vs STL Rush Catch Pass
QB Kurt Warner     300,2
RB Tim Hightower 100,1 20  
WR Anquan Boldin   90,1  
WR Larry Fitzgerald   110,1  
WR Steve Breaston   60  
PK Neil Rackers 2 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Cardinals are back at home after getting ambushed in Philly in their most lopsided loss of the year. But back at home against the Rams is a nice place to get back on track and just one more win clinches the NFC West with three games left to play. The problem that could crop up after this week is that once the Cards secure the division, they have done all that they could do. They are still two games out of getting a first round bye so basically they have nothing to play for once they win the division.

Quarterback: Kurt Warner fell off his 300 yard game pace in Philadelphia but his 235 passing yards produced three touchdowns and three interceptions. Warner is back at home this week where he's been slightly more productive than on the road and all but one game had at least two passing scores. This should be a chance for Warner to get back on track since he passed for 343 yards and two score in St. Louis back in week nine.

Running Backs: Back when gained 109 yards on 22 carries and scored once in St. Louis we did not realize that was the highpoint to the season. In the four games since - as a starting tailback no less - Tim Hightower has never had more than 35 yards in any game. Oddly enough he has not scored since that week nine matchup with the Rams except for when he had two touchdowns against the Giants. This week should be a chance for Hightower to produce better stats again but matchups against the 49ers and Seahawks did not produce nearly as much as expected. So far what Hightower did in St. Louis was just a one time performance.

Wide Receivers: Last week was odd since neither wideout had more than five catches or 65 yards but Larry Fitzgerald scored two touchdowns and Anquan Boldin had none. That still leaves Boldin with the lead of 11 touchdowns to eight. Anquan has never gone more than one game without a score this season and should be able to continue to lead the league with receiving touchdowns.

Steve Breaston had a touchdown last week but only 45 yards on six carries and it was only his second score on the year. Breaston already has three games over 100 yards which ties him with Boldin (though that is the only similarity).

Fitzgerald had six catches for 81 yards in St. Louis while Boldin caught six passes for 85 yards and one touchdown. Jerheme Urban had one catch for a 56-yard touchdown.

Tight Ends: No real fanasy value

Match Against the Defense: The Rams are so horrifcally bad that most teams just run the ball and Hightower's only 100 yard game this year came in St. Louis. The Cards do not like to run much but how could they resist this one? There is still plenty of time left for Warner to notch his 300 yard game and for both Boldin and Fitzgerald to be top players for the week. The Rams will have a defense one day and it will be very sad.

Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 2 22 1 32 11 13
Preventing Fantasy Points    STL 19 32 18 15 29 29

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