IDP Dynasty Watch is a weekly article that looks at players values for the future (2-4 years). Also, a player doesn’t have to be a rookie or second year guy to be included but as often as possible I will be focusing on younger players. However, with that said there are plenty of 30+ year old players that are productive into their mid thirties and would be viable dynasty watch candidates under the correct circumstances.
Forgotten First Rounders…
Glenn Dorsey – Kansas City Chiefs
Drafted: 2008 1st round (5th overall)
Dorsey has had a pretty quiet rookie season even considering the fact that he has started all 13 games for the Chiefs this year. On the season, he has recorded 28 solo tackles, 8 assists and 1 sack. Fantasy wise he ranks just inside the top 30 DTs but has yet to record a double digit scoring week. Surely, in DT mandatory leagues people have not been relying on Dorsey as a weekly starter or at least let’s hope not.
Adam Teicher has reported that the Chiefs would like to see more production from Dorsey to close out the year. It is pretty easy to understand why too. The Chiefs happen to be giving up 5.0 YPC (Yards/Carry) which is tied for the worst in the NFL. On top of that, the Chiefs rank 31st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed (161.8). Dorsey doesn’t deserve all the blame for how poor the Chiefs rushing defense has played but when you are a top 5 pick in the NFL you are expected to be an impact player. The Chiefs haven’t gotten that impact yet but they still have not given up hope. If you own Dorsey in a DT mandatory league neither should you. Some saw Dorsey as the best prospect in the NFL draft this past April and when it’s all said and done he just might be. He will need to continue to work and develop so that he can help lead the Chiefs defense from its abysmal depths. Over the course of the next 3 years I think we will see Dorsey develop into a very good DT, possibly even a Pro-Bowler and with regards to fantasy he should end up being a solid DT1 for his owners. You are just going to have to be patient for a bit longer.
And with the 6th Selection in the 2008 NFL Draft the New York Jets select…
Vernon Gholston – New York Jets
Drafted: 2008 1st round (6th overall)
Well, Dorsey and Gholston went back to back in the 2008 NFL Draft so I figured they should go back to back here too. Unlike Dorsey, Gholston has yet to start a single game this year. Gholston has also posted just a 3rd as many tackles as Dorsey has (4 solos & 8 assists) for the year. See this is where winning can cure all ills. The Jets are in the thick of things in a race for a playoff berth and possible Division Title. If the Jets were struggling to win games this year the NY media and its fan base would be all over Gholtson for not living up to expectations for a top 6 pick. The Jets have recorded 37 sacks which ranks 3rd in the NFL, trailing only the Steelers (45) and Cowboys (45). Unlike, the Steelers and Cowboys where their OLBs have accounted for over 50% of their total sacks the Jets OLBs have only accounted for 24% of their total sacks. Hopefully for the Jets, Gholston is able to improve and become the impact player that they thought they were drafting because they sure would like to see more then 9 sacks coming from their OLBs thru 13 games. Because Gholston is seeing the field so little you can probably get him on the cheap and if your league favors sacks in its scoring he is someone worth targeting. Don’t expect to see him turn into James Harrison, Demarcus Ware or Joey Porter this offseason but hopefully he commits himself and is able to see meaningful snaps next year. Of course all of that will become very apparent during next year’s training camp. So the time to buy on Gholston is going to be as soon as trading opens up in your league this spring or early summer. Buy him before OTA’s and camps start. Again, the price should be very cheap and you can then assess him during the summer. Worst case scenario, Gholston is a bust for you and the Jets but best case scenario is you end up with an OLB that is recording double digit sacks.
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