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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2008 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
* updated

Prediction: NYJ 24, SEA 17

Update: The weather calls for snow and wind that starts at 23 mph and then dies down to 11 mph by the end of the game. It will be 30 to 34 degrees so the snow probably won't be sticking. Laveranues Coles is 'GASP!' questionable to play which means he will have a full workload like every other week this year. Matt Hasselbeck has been upgraded to questionable but Seneca Wallace is still expected to take the start.

The Jets remain in the thick of the AFC East title run that will likely come down to week 17 when they play the Dolphins. But they cannot afford to ignore this week and are only 4-3 on the road anyway. The Seahawks are only 1-6 at home though and even recent improved play is unlikely to get them their fourth win on the year.

New York Jets (9-5)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @MIA 20-14 -3 36
2 NE 10-19 -1.5 39
3 @SD 29-48 +9 44
4 ARZ 56-35 -3 45
5 BYE - - -
6 CIN 26-14 -6 45
7 @OAK 13-16 -3 42.5
8 KC 28-24 -13 38
9 @BUF 26-17 +5.5 43
10 STL 47-3 -8.5 44.5
11 @NE 34-31 +3.5 41.5
12 @TEN 34-13 +6 40.5
13 DEN 17-34 -7.5 47.5
14 @SF 14-24 -4 45
15 BUF 31-27 -7 41
16 @SEA - -4.5 44.5
17 MIA - - -
NYJ @ SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Brett Favre     270,2
RB Thomas Jones 90,1 20  
RB Leon Washington 20 20  
TE Dustin Keller   40  
WR Laveranues Coles   60,1  
WR Jerricho Cotchery   90,1  
WR Chansi Stuckey   30  
PK Jay Feely 1 FG 3 XP  
Pregame Notes: Taking down the Bills last week help salvage the playoff chances but the Jets lost two straight and then got a gift by the bumbling Bills. This is the same team that lost to the 49ers just two weeks ago and the passing game has slipped for more than a month now. Fortunately Seattle is the worst defense at stopping the pass now but next week will be the real test against the Dolphins for what could be all the AFC East marbles.

Quarterback: Brett Favre has only one passing touchdown in the last three games which includes two losses and four interceptions. One of Favre's advantages for the Jets is a long-time playoff veteran but his level of play in recent games is not going to get the team there. The Jets currently have the division title lead and two wins maintain that. It will be Favre who will be the one to secure that happening.

Running Backs: Thomas Jones is enjoying a career year and his 12 rushing scores have seen nine of them scored in a home game and only three on the road. But he has scored in each of the last four trips away from New York thanks to also scoring on a pass. He's been a safe bet for moderate yardage and a score every week if not yet another big game.

The Jets have also benefited from the play of Leon Washington who has been far too inconsistent for relying on as a fantasy starter and yet he has scored seven times this year and had a handful of games with decent yardage. Against softer defenses such as the Seahawks, Washington has been less productive since Jones has been more than enough in those games.

Wide Receivers: After a promising start to the season, all the wideouts have lost reliable fantasy value on this team and anyone using them are crossing their fingers. Laveranues Coles has a decent showing against the Bills with 82 yards on five catches but literally had only three catches over the two previous games. Jerricho Cotchery scored last week for the first time in six weeks but he too has been spotty at best with decent games.

This week is potentially the best matchup for the wideouts this year and against weak teams is when they have been at their best.

Tight Ends: Dustin Keller has become the primary receiver in this offense in recent weeks and like the wideouts has been more effective in games against bad secondaries. He only has three touchdowns on the year but has been a slightly bigger factor away from New York.

Match Against the Defense: The Seattle defense has been at least average against the run when at home and only Portis topped 100 yards as a visitor there. Jones is running very strongly and has been a scoring machine. No reason to not expect at least one touchdown and healthy yardage.

Favre should be a lock for at least a decent game here since the Seahawks have allowed at least one passing score in every single game this year. They have allowed four passers to top 300 passing yards and are the worst in the league at stopping wideouts. This is one week where it should be more than safe to start both Coles and Cotchery. Favre is not above running up the score or throwing deep when he does not need to do so.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 13 6 16 15 14 1
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 31 21 32 22 32 16

Seattle Seahawks (3- 11)
Homefield: Qwest Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @BUF 10-34 +1 39
2 SF 30-33 -8 38.5
3 STL 37-13 -10 44
4 BYE - - -
5 @NYG 6-44 +7 43.5
6 GB 17-27 -2.5 46.5
7 @TB 10-20 +11 39
8 @SF 34-13 +4.5 42.5
9 PHI 7-26 +6.5 43
10 @MIA 19-21 +9 43
11 ARZ 20-26 +3.5 47.5
12 WAS 17-20 +3.5 41.5
13 @DAL 9-34 +12.5 46.5
14 NE 21-24 +5 43
15 @STL 23-20 -3 44
16 NYJ - +4.5 44.5
17 @ARZ - - -
SEA vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Seneca Wallace 10   260,2
RB Maurice Morris 50 20  
TE John Carlson   80,1  
WR Bobby Engram   40  
WR Koren Robinson   30  
WR Deion Branch   70,1  
PK Olindo Mare 1 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The win in St. Louis ended a six game losing streak but Mike Holmgren's final game in Seattle this week is not likely to end as well. The only wins the Seahawks have managed is against the 49ers and a sweep of the Rams. That's it. The rushing game looks just as bad as it did at the end of 2007 and Matt Hasselbeck cannot stay healthy. This is the swan song for Holmgren but there's not much left that can make a game of it.

Quarterback: Matt Hasselbeck is expected to miss this week with his bad back which gives Seneca Wallace his seventh start of the season and third one in a row right when you needed Hasselbeck the most. Wallace had a big game at home against the Patriots when he passed for 212 yards and three scores but he's been much more likely to end with just one touchdown in a game and had none last week in St. Louis. Seven starts and he has eight touchdowns on the year though only one interception.

Making matters a bit worse this week is that LT Walter Jones remains out and his replacement Sean Locklear will likely miss this game as well.

Running Backs: The Julius Jones experiment appears to be drawing to a close with the free agent back starting the year as the primary runner and a couple of decent games to where now he only has 27 carries for 95 yards over the last four games combined. That includes never playing in week 14. Jones had four runs last week but is not worth considering anymore.

Maurice Morris has fared only slightly better with only one game of more than 14 carries and still no rushing touchdowns on the season. Unless he breaks off a long run, Morris is more likely to hang around 40 rushing yards in a game.

Wide Receivers: The marginal numbers that come from this group have mostly been because Deion Branch has stepped up in recent weeks to produce 70 or 80 yards in games. Overall this unit ranks 30th in the league and has battled catastrophic injury situations for most of the year. Now that they group is finally getting better, ends up they still do not matter. This is a team that has not run well and yet has perpetually been behind in games. And still they cannot assemble a decent passing attack. This could well be Bobby Engram's final game in Seattle.

Tight Ends: The lone bright spot on the team has been the play of the rookie John Carlson who has been one of the better fantasy tight ends for the last month. He has scored twice in that time and had 70 or more yards for the last three weeks. That's astronomic for this team and in particular he has been a favorite of Wallace.

Match Against the Defense: The Jets have an above average rushing defense and the Seahawks by now barely manage more than minimal rushing totals. Stay away from Morris this week.

Wallace could actually have a decent game here with the Jets always allowing at least one passing score in road games if not multiple. They have allowed over 250 passing yards in five of seven away games as well. While it is hard to rely on Wallace for much more than average numbers, he should at least score once if not twice here and have decent yardage. Carlson has to be a favorite to both score and get good yards and Branch has been coming up lately as well.

Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 28 18 30 16 24 23
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 30 9 19 30 16 26

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