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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2008 ~
Season Ticket

Prediction: MIA 24, NYJ 20

The Dolphins have an easy equation - win and they are in. Lose and they are out, The Jets take the AFC East with a win here and a loss by the Patriots in Buffalo. If the Patriots win, then the Jets could get a wild card with a Ravens loss to the Jaguars. The Patriots game will be over when this is played.

The Jets won 20-14 in the season opener in Miami.

Miami Dolphins (10-5)
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 NYJ 14-20 +3 36
2 @ARZ 10-31 +7 38.5
3 @NE 38-13 +13 34.5
4 BYE - - -
5 SD 17-10 +6.5 45.5
6 @HOU 28-29 +3 45
7 BAL 13-27 -3 36.5
8 BUF 25-16 +1.5 42.5
9 @DEN 26-17 +3 49
10 SEA 21-19 -9 43
11 OAK 17-15


12 NE 28-48 -2 42
13 @STL 16-12 -7.5 43.5
14 @BUF 16-3 +1 42
15 SF 14-9 -6.5 42
16 @KC 38-31 -3.5 39.5
17 @NYJ - +3 42
MIA @ NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Chad Pennington     260,3
RB Ronnie Brown 50 20,1  
RB Ricky Williams 30 20  
TE Anthony Fasano   40,1  
WR Davone Bess   70  
WR Ted Ginn Jr.   60,1  
PK Dan Carpenter 1 FG 3 XP  
Pregame Notes: The first year for Tony Sparano has already been a wild success going from a 1-15 laughingstock to no worse than 10-6 and possibly winning the division. Almost too good of a first year - how can they improve from this meteoric rise? Chad Pennington has been a tremendous addition and brings about an interesting tact to the game. This is not only the way the Fins can reach the playoffs, it is how Chad Pennington can show his old team that they made a mistake getting Favre and dumping him. How sweet is that?

Quarterback: Chad Pennington has passed for 17 touchdowns but only had seven interceptions and no lost fumbles. He has provided the right veteran leadership for the team and has been improving in the later stages of the season. His yardage rarely goes above 200 yards but he has thrown for nine scores in his last five games.

Pennington passed for 251 yards and two scores in the season opener against the Jets.

Running Backs: No changes here with Ronnie Brown the primary back of sorts and Ricky Williams mixed in for a dozen or so touches per game. Brown has scored ten times this year but only once in the last six games. Williams only has four touchdowns but is almost as productive as Brown.

Patrick Cobbs is tossed in on occasion as well. This is a true committee backfield that has lost much of any fantasy value from the split of duties.

The Dolphins only rushed for 47 yards in the first meeting with the Jets.

Wide Receivers: Ernest Camarillo was a nice surprise until landing on the injured reserve a month ago. That has given Davone Bess a chance and he has responded with around 50 yards or better in almost all games since. He only has one score on the year but has been good for around six catches per game.

Ted Ginn Jr. has been less productive though he has two touchdowns via a run and one from a pass. He too has been good for around 50 or 60 yards in most games though with less catches.

Ginn only had two catches for 17 yards against the Jets this year.

Tight Ends: Anthony Fasano has two scores last week in Kansas City and his 47 yards were his best since week three but he has been far too inconsistent to consider for a fantasy starter. He had four games of 12 yards or fewer.

Match Against the Defense: This will be a hard fought game with both teams having everything on the line. The Jets have been good against the run though a bit less in recent weeks when Lynch and Hillis both rushed for over 100 yards in Buffalo. Look for moderate yardage thanks to the split and likely no rushing score.

Pennington already had 250 yards and two scores in week one when he was still learning the playbook. He has a much better sense now and a chance to go back "home" for a highly motivated performance. I like his to at least replicate the seek one game if not add a third score. Look for Fasano to be involved this week and for Ginn to have a shot at a score as well.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 19 8 26 3 25 14
Preventing Fantasy Points    NYJ 29 7 16 30 15 26

New York Jets (9-6)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @MIA 20-14 -3 36
2 NE 10-19 -1.5 39
3 @SD 29-48 +9 44
4 ARZ 56-35 -3 45
5 BYE - - -
6 CIN 26-14 -6 45
7 @OAK 13-16 -3 42.5
8 KC 28-24 -13 38
9 @BUF 26-17 +5.5 43
10 STL 47-3 -8.5 44.5
11 @NE 34-31 +3.5 41.5
12 @TEN 34-13 +6 40.5
13 DEN 17-34 -7.5 47.5
14 @SF 14-24 -4 45
15 BUF 31-27 -7 41
16 @SEA 3-13 -4 43
17 MIA - -3 42
NYJ vs MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB Brett Favre     190,1
RB Thomas Jones 100,1 20  
TE Dustin Keller   20  
WR Laveranues Coles   60  
WR Jerricho Cotchery   80,1  
PK Jay Feely 2 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Dolphins are on a four game winning streak. The Jets have lost three of their last four while their offense has largely fallen silent. Brett Favre has gone from savior to liability and even the rushing game by Thomas Jones has waned lately. Mostly it looks like the Jets have already peaked and Favre's skills are leaving with the winter weather.

Quarterback: Brett Favre was the media darling to the point of projectile vomiting but he's gone from being Mr. Touchdown to just being Mr. Interception. He has only thrown for one touchdown in the last four games and yet had six interceptions in that time. In fact he leads the league with 19 interceptions. Maybe he should have moved to Florida or Arizona instead of New York, Seems his old bones cannot take the cold any longer.

Favre passed for 194 yards and two scores in Miami this year.

Running Backs: Thomas Jones has been less effective lately but only in road games. He still has scored in each of the last five home games and has 13 rushing scores on the year. His 1289 rushing yards ranks fourth in the league and he ran for 101 yards and one score in Miami this year. With the decline of Favre and turning of the weather, the Jets are relying even more on Jones to keep the chains moving.

Leon Washington shows up on occasion and slightly more often at home but not enough to warrant projections.

Wide Receivers: Favre has hardly made stars out of the wideouts here and his penchant for opting for tight ends have been noted. Laveranues Coles has spent literally every week on the injury report and yet still plays. He's been locked around 60 yards as a good game and has only six touchdowns on the year - three in one game. Coles only had one catch for five yards in the first meeting with the Dolphins.

Jerricho Cotchery has not fared any better with five scores and just one game over 100 yards but he did score once in the most recent home game and has been slightly better than Coles in most games.

The Jets have finally demoted Chansi Stuckey and he was inactive last week. David Clowney has taken his spot but only has one catch on the year.

Tight Ends: Dustin Keller is the rookie success on this team with three scores and significant play in most weeks. He tends to show up more in home games and he is a reliable target for Favre but in the snow in Seattle last week he only had one pass thrown to him for a season low.

Match Against the Defense: The Dolphins rushing defense has been very good this year and most teams do not score via the run against them. But the Jets have been successful with Jones in the past and he should be good for right around what he did in week one - 100 yards and one touchdown. Larry Johnson did as much last week against the Jets,

Favre is the question mark here and the main limitation of the Jets for the past month. Look for one passing score that should favor Cotchery the most but Favre has not thrown for more than one score at home since midseason and this game should be cold and wet. Keller is not a strong play this week against the #3 defense against tight ends.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 16 7 15 16 18 3
Preventing Fantasy Points    MIA 23 5 29 3 22 6

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