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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2008 ~
Season Ticket

Prediction: WAS 17, SF 23

No consequences to this game other than playing for pride and the Skins looking to end with a winning record.

Washington Redskins (8-7)
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @NYG 7-16 +3.5 41
2 NO 29-24 -1 42.5
3 ARZ 24-17 -3 42
4 @DAL 26-24 +11.5 46
5 @PHI 23-17 +5 43
6 STL 17-19 -13.5 44
7 CLE 14-11 -7.5 42.5
8 @DET 25-17 -8 43.5
9 PIT 6-23 -1.5 37
10 BYE - - -
11 DAL 10-14 +1.5 43
12 @SEA 20-17 -3.5 41.5
13 NYG 7-23 +3.5 41.5
14 @BAL 10-24 +5 36.5
15 @CIN 13-20 -6.5 36.5
16 PHI 10-3 +5 38.5
17 @SF - +3 37
WAS @ SF Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     220,1
RB Clinton Portis 70,1 10  
TE Chris Cooley   60  
WR Santana Moss   80,1  
WR Antwaan Randle El   40  
WR Devin Thomas   20  
PK Shaun Suisham 1 FG 2 XP  
Pregame Notes: Nice win over the Eagles reverses a three game slide that included a loss to the Bengals but the Skins are 4-3 on the road and still trying to live off their defense. The offense has been mired in mediocre passing this year and even the new head coach has questioned himself. The best running back in the league was Clinton Portis but that ended right at midseason. The Redskins also failed to find any new wideout despite spending two second round picks on Devin Thomas and Malcolm Kelly. It's mostly just been another year - started better than usual but ending poorly.

Quarterback: Jason Campbell has taken every snap as the Redskins quarterback this year but only has 3089 yards and 12 passing scores and six of those touchdowns happened in the first four weeks. Other than the game in Detroit, Campbell has been stuck around 220 yards and one score in road games. He'll likely remain for next year but never took the next step this year.

Running Backs: Clinton Portis is closing out 2008 with 1407 rushing yards which ranks #3 but he only has eight touchdowns and since midseason he's only managed one game over 100 rushing yards - he had five in a row in the first half of the year. He also has only one score since week seven and in most weeks has been well below 75 rushing yards. Portis has been playing while dinged up but has not missed a game.

Wide Receivers: The drafting of Malcolm Kelly and Devin Thomas brought much optimism to a team that needed to get a better set of receivers but it never happened. That's not to say that Thomas and Kelly couldn't later become two valuable players but it did not happen yet. Santana Moss remains miscast as a split end when his speed and size suggests a slot role and Antwaan Randle El is the wideout they can never replace even though they want to.

Moss has been very effective against bad defenses with three games over 140 yards. And then nearly invisible in all others.

Tight Ends: Chris Cooley has been rock solid with 50 yards or more each week but has only scored once this year.

Match Against the Defense: The Redskins have struggled on the road with their offense and the 49ers have improved much more than their rankings suggest. No runner has exceeded 100 rushing yards as a visitor and five have managed to score a touchdown. Portis has not been as productive lately so look for only a moderate game here.

Campbell is rarely worth more than 220 yards and a score and that's right in line with what the 49ers have been allowing. That one passing score favors Moss far more than any other player and that's part of the problem in Washington.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 25 19 22 13 24 31
Preventing Fantasy Points    SF 20 22 25 2 30 29

San Francisco 49ers (6-9)
Homefield: Monster Park
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 ARZ 13-23 +2.5 41.5
2 @SEA 33-30 +8 38.5
3 DET 31-13 -4 46
4 @NO 17-31 +6 48.5
5 NE 21-30 +3 41.5
6 PHI 26-40 +5 43
7 @NYG 17-29 +10.5 45
8 SEA 13-34 -4.5 42.5
9 BYE - - -
10 @ARZ 24-29 +9.5 47.5
11 STL 35-16 -6 44.5
12 @DAL 22-35 +11 48
13 @BUF 10-3 +7 42.5
14 NYJ 24-14 +4 45
15 @MIA 9-14 +6.5 42
16 @STL 17-16 -5.5 43.5
17 WAS - -3 37
SF vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Shaun Hill     210,2
RB Frank Gore 30    
TE Vernon Davis   20  
WR Isaac Bruce   80  
WR Josh Morgan   40,1  
WR Bryant Johnson   60,1  
PK Joe Nedney 3 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The 49ers are already guaranteed a losing season but there is a sense of positive gains being made here at the end of the year. They have won three of the last four games and the defense has really tightened up in the last month. Interim head coach Mike Singletary appears a lock to remain and his leadership has been visibly a difference maker. A win here makes it four of the last five games and a nice springboard into 2009.

Quarterback: Shaun Hill winds down the year and he is making a case to remain on the 49ers if only as a backup. Hill has thrown for a score in all but one game and has 12 passing scores in eight games played. He's working the Mike Martz system well but that could work against him since many believe that Martz will be gone in the offseason and Singletary will install a more traditional run-based scheme.

Running Backs: Frank Gore has missed time with a bad ankle but is expected to return this week if only to gain 22 yards so he can top 1000 rushing yards on the season. How well his ankle hold up is hard to gauge but he's not going to be a completely safe start this week.

DeShaun Foster has been a poor replacement for Gore. He has only gained 147 yards on 46 carries in the three weeks as a starter. He's no lock to remain with the team.

Wide Receivers: Isaac Bruce had his day in the sun last week and with seven touchdowns he's easily been the best wideout for the 49ers but he's an aging star that has only been there to help Mike Martz install a system that may be stripped out in the offseason. Bryant Johnson has failed to be more than a mediocre wideout but has a touchdown in each of the last two home games after not scoring since week two.

Josh Morgan has made major strides into being a productive starter and has scored in three of the last four games. He hasn't topped 86 yards in a game yet but he's the only youngster on this squad that appears likely to have some potential for a big role.

Tight Ends: Vernon Davis has never melded with the Martz offense and has only scored twice. He should hope for a new offensive system but even then he'll likely just disappoint.

Match Against the Defense: The rushing defense of the Redskins has been very good this year and with a less than healthy Gore, it is hard to recommend him as a starter. Look for Gore to get his 22 yards and anything beyond that is very unreliable. But so is Foster.

I like Hill to end up with average passing but two scores has have several opponents of the Skins. The 49ers defense should help out with field position and really slow down this game.

Gaining Fantasy Points SF 12 26 11 25 16 29
Preventing Fantasy Points    WAS 6 9 4 4 7 15

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