FANTASY FOOTBALL ARTICLES

Ease of Schedule 2.0 - Running Backs
David Dorey April 15, 2009 Quarterbacks \| Running Backs \| Wide Receivers & Tight Ends	Comments		Print

2008 Rushing Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game

16 Best Matchups		16 Worst Matchups
DEN	33.1	@CIN	16.0
STL	32.9	MIN	16.0
@OAK	31.7	@NYJ	15.8
DET	30.7	PIT	15.8
@DET	29.2	PHI	15.6
@KC	28.5	@BUF	15.5
KC	27.3	BAL	15.1
OAK	25.6	NE	14.9
@DEN	25.1	MIA	14.8
CLE	24.7	@MIN	14.7
TB	24.3	@CAR	14.5
HOU	24.1	@SD	14.0
@GB	23.6	@PHI	13.6
ARI	23.6	@TB	13.5
GB	23.6	@PIT	13.0
@STL	23.5	@BAL	10.6

The Ease of Schedule is about taking the results from all defensive performances last season and then applying the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst match-ups for teams and awarding then either a good or a bad game - or just neutral.

In making this as accurate as can be using stats from the previous season, starting last season the difference is that no longer are the "good" and "bad" matchups related to a team. They are now related to both team and venue. The reality is that many teams play much differently on the road than they do at home. What the Ease of Schedule has done is to take each NFL defense and consider them as two separate entities. One on the road and the other at home. In some cases, it did not matter - both were great for a team (or really bad). In others, it certainly did. Taking the eight home games and eight road games, each had their highest and lowest games removed to eliminate uncharacteristic extremes. Then the per game average fantasy points allowed were determined from the six remaining home and six remaining road games. From a total set of 64 possibilities (32 defenses both home and away), the best and worst 16 matchups were used.

This is the most accurate picture of defenses from last year - hands down. While regular season EOS will not split them out because of a lack of adequate sample size, the preseason EOS considered venue in addition to the defense - it makes a difference. This is more accurate than any other you will find.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups.

Weeks 1 to 16 (Full Season)
	EOS	Good	Bad
SEA	4	6	2
ARI	2	4	2
STL	2	4	2
WAS	2	6	4
SF	1	4	3
SD	1	6	5
PIT	1	6	5
DAL	1	4	3
MIN	1	5	4
JAC	1	4	3
PHI	1	4	3
IND	0	3	3
OAK	0	4	4
NYG	0	4	4
CIN	0	7	7
DET	-1	5	6
BAL	-1	5	6
CHI	-1	6	7
HOU	-1	2	3
TEN	-1	3	4
BUF	-1	4	5
NO	-2	3	5
KC	-2	4	6
GB	-3	3	6
DEN	-3	4	7
CLE	-3	5	8
TB	-4	1	5
NYJ	-4	1	5
ATL	-4	1	5
MIA	-4	2	6
NE	-5	1	6
CAR	-5	1	6

Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule)
	EOS	Good	Bad
WAS	3	4	1
JAC	2	2	0
SEA	2	2	0
MIN	2	3	1
BUF	1	2	1
NYG	1	2	1
OAK	1	2	1
PIT	1	2	1
CIN	1	3	2
PHI	1	3	2
ARI	0	1	1
HOU	0	1	1
STL	0	1	1
BAL	0	2	2
CHI	0	2	2
DAL	0	2	2
GB	0	2	2
IND	-1	0	1
NYJ	-1	0	1
DET	-1	1	2
KC	-1	1	2
NE	-1	1	2
SF	-1	1	2
TEN	-1	1	2
DEN	-1	2	3
ATL	-2	0	2
MIA	-2	0	2
TB	-2	0	2
NO	-2	1	3
SD	-2	2	4
CAR	-3	0	3
CLE	-3	1	4

Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
	EOS	Good	Bad
ARI	2	2	0
SEA	2	2	0
HOU	1	1	0
IND	1	1	0
MIA	1	1	0
NO	1	1	0
OAK	1	1	0
PHI	1	1	0
STL	1	1	0
WAS	1	1	0
CLE	1	2	1
SF	1	2	1
DAL	0	0	0
SD	0	0	0
TB	0	0	0
BAL	0	1	1
BUF	0	1	1
DEN	0	1	1
DET	0	1	1
KC	0	1	1
PIT	0	1	1
TEN	0	1	1
ATL	-1	0	1
CAR	-1	0	1
GB	-1	0	1
JAC	-1	0	1
MIN	-1	0	1
NE	-1	0	1
NYG	-1	0	1
NYJ	-1	0	1
CHI	-1	1	2
CIN	-1	1	2

Week - By - Week

TM	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
ARI	SF	@JAC	IND	BYE	HOU	@SEA	@NYG	CAR	@CHI	SEA	@STL	@TEN	MIN	@SF	@DET	STL
ATL	MIA	CAR	@NE	BYE	@SF	CHI	@DAL	@NO	WAS	@CAR	@NYG	TB	PHI	NO	@NYJ	BUF
BAL	KC	@SD	CLE	@NE	CIN	@MIN	BYE	DEN	@CIN	@CLE	IND	PIT	@GB	DET	CHI	@PIT
BUF	@NE	TB	NO	@MIA	CLE	@NYJ	@CAR	HOU	BYE	@TEN	@JAC	MIA	NYJ	@KC	NE	@ATL
CAR	PHI	@ATL	@DAL	BYE	WAS	@TB	BUF	@ARI	@NO	ATL	MIA	@NYJ	TB	@NE	MIN	@NYG
CHI	@GB	PIT	@SEA	DET	BYE	@ATL	@CIN	CLE	ARI	@SF	PHI	@MIN	STL	GB	@BAL	MIN
CIN	DEN	@GB	PIT	@CLE	@BAL	HOU	CHI	BYE	BAL	@PIT	@OAK	CLE	DET	@MIN	@SD	KC
CLE	MIN	@DEN	@BAL	CIN	@BUF	@PIT	GB	@CHI	BYE	BAL	@DET	@CIN	SD	PIT	@KC	OAK
DAL	@TB	NYG	CAR	@DEN	@KC	BYE	ATL	SEA	@PHI	@GB	WAS	OAK	@NYG	SD	@NO	@WAS
DEN	@CIN	CLE	@OAK	DAL	NE	@SD	BYE	@BAL	PIT	@WAS	SD	NYG	@KC	@IND	OAK	@PHI
DET	@NO	MIN	WAS	@CHI	PIT	@GB	BYE	STL	@SEA	@MIN	CLE	GB	@CIN	@BAL	ARI	@SF
GB	CHI	CIN	@STL	@MIN	BYE	DET	@CLE	MIN	@TB	DAL	SF	@DET	BAL	@CHI	@PIT	SEA
HOU	NYJ	@TEN	JAC	OAK	@ARI	@CIN	SF	@BUF	@IND	BYE	TEN	IND	@JAC	SEA	@STL	@MIA
IND	JAC	@MIA	@ARI	SEA	@TEN	BYE	@STL	SF	HOU	NE	@BAL	@HOU	TEN	DEN	@JAC	NYJ
JAC	@IND	ARI	@HOU	TEN	@SEA	STL	BYE	@TEN	KC	@NYJ	BUF	@SF	HOU	MIA	IND	@NE
KC	@BAL	OAK	@PHI	NYG	DAL	@WAS	SD	BYE	@JAC	@OAK	PIT	@SD	DEN	BUF	CLE	@CIN
MIA	@ATL	IND	@SD	BUF	NYJ	BYE	NO	@NYJ	@NE	TB	@CAR	@BUF	NE	@JAC	@TEN	HOU
MIN	@CLE	@DET	SF	GB	@STL	BAL	@PIT	@GB	BYE	DET	SEA	CHI	@ARI	CIN	@CAR	@CHI
NE	BUF	@NYJ	ATL	BAL	@DEN	TEN	@TB	BYE	MIA	@IND	NYJ	@NO	@MIA	CAR	@BUF	JAC
NO	DET	@PHI	@BUF	NYJ	BYE	NYG	@MIA	ATL	CAR	@STL	@TB	NE	@WAS	@ATL	DAL	TB
NYG	WAS	@DAL	@TB	@KC	OAK	@NO	ARI	@PHI	SD	BYE	ATL	@DEN	DAL	PHI	@WAS	CAR
NYJ	@HOU	NE	TEN	@NO	@MIA	BUF	@OAK	MIA	BYE	JAC	@NE	CAR	@BUF	@TB	ATL	@IND
OAK	SD	@KC	DEN	@HOU	@NYG	PHI	NYJ	@SD	BYE	KC	CIN	@DAL	@PIT	WAS	@DEN	@CLE
PHI	@CAR	NO	KC	BYE	TB	@OAK	@WAS	NYG	DAL	@SD	@CHI	WAS	@ATL	@NYG	SF	DEN
PIT	TEN	@CHI	@CIN	SD	@DET	CLE	MIN	BYE	@DEN	CIN	@KC	@BAL	OAK	@CLE	GB	BAL
SD	@OAK	BAL	MIA	@PIT	BYE	DEN	@KC	OAK	@NYG	PHI	@DEN	KC	@CLE	@DAL	CIN	@TEN
SEA	STL	@SF	CHI	@IND	JAC	ARI	BYE	@DAL	DET	@ARI	@MIN	@STL	SF	@HOU	TB	@GB
SF	@ARI	SEA	@MIN	STL	ATL	BYE	@HOU	@IND	TEN	CHI	@GB	JAC	@SEA	ARI	@PHI	DET
STL	@SEA	@WAS	GB	@SF	MIN	@JAC	IND	@DET	BYE	NO	ARI	SEA	@CHI	@TEN	HOU	@ARI
TB	DAL	@BUF	NYG	@WAS	@PHI	CAR	NE	BYE	GB	@MIA	NO	@ATL	@CAR	NYJ	@SEA	@NO
TEN	@PIT	HOU	@NYJ	@JAC	IND	@NE	BYE	JAC	@SF	BUF	@HOU	ARI	@IND	STL	MIA	SD
WAS	@NYG	STL	@DET	TB	@CAR	KC	PHI	BYE	@ATL	DEN	@DAL	@PHI	NO	@OAK	NYG	DAL

COMMENTS (page 3 of 3)

DMD

Posted Oct 17, 2009 5:30pm EDT

Boza - There is a season strength of schedule tool that is constantly updated linked from the homepage and the main stats page

http://www.thehuddle.com/myHuddle/so s.php

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	Ease of Schedule 2.0 for Quarterbacks
	Ease of Schedule 2.0 for Receivers
	2009 NFL Draft Coverage
	NFL Team Reports

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