The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL ARTICLES

Ease of Schedule 2.0 - Wide Receivers & Tight Ends
David Dorey
April 15, 2009
Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  Wide Receivers & Tight Ends
Comments Comments      Print this page Print 
2008 Passing Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
16 Best Matchups 16 Worst Matchups
SEA 34.8 @MIN 22.8
@DET 32.9 WAS 22.3
SD 32.9 TB 21.9
ARI 31.8 DAL 21.9
@CHI 31.8 @OAK 21.7
@JAC 31.6 CLE 21.3
SF 30.8 IND 20.7
NYG 30.0 @SF 19.9
@ATL 29.7 @WAS 19.7
BUF 29.5 @PIT 19.3
@KC 29.5 @BUF 19.0
@CLE 29.5 @NYG 18.5
NE 29.5 TEN 16.5
CAR 29.4 @BAL 16.2
@NO 29.3 PIT 15.7
DET 29.2 @IND 14.9

The Ease of Schedule is about taking the results from all defensive performances last season and then applying the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst match-ups for teams and awarding then either a good or a bad game - or just neutral.

In making this as accurate as can be using stats from the previous season, starting last season the difference is that no longer are the "good" and "bad" matchups related to a team. They are now related to both team and venue. The reality is that many teams play much differently on the road than they do at home. What the Ease of Schedule has done is to take each NFL defense and consider them as two separate entities. One on the road and the other at home. In some cases, it did not matter - both were great for a team (or really bad). In others, it certainly did. Taking the eight home games and eight road games, each had their highest and lowest games removed to eliminate uncharacteristic extremes. Then the per game average fantasy points allowed were determined from the six remaining home and six remaining road games. From a total set of 64 possibilities (32 defenses both home and away), the best and worst 16 matchups were used.

This is the most accurate picture of defenses from last year - hands down. While regular season EOS will not split them out because of a lack of adequate sample size, the preseason EOS considered venue in addition to the defense - it makes a difference. This is more accurate than any other you will find.

This version combines both tight end and wide receivers since their combination is an accurate reflection of how defenses are preventing passing fantasy points. Taken separately is far less accurate because tight ends are de facto wideouts on a few teams and tight end results are highly skewed against those few teams that had to face Jason Witten, Dallas Clark or Antonio Gates.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups.

Weeks 1 to 16 (Full Season)
  EOS Good Bad
MIN 4 6 2
ARI 2 6 4
DAL 2 6 4
GB 2 6 4
BUF 1 4 3
IND 1 4 3
NYG 1 5 4
PIT 1 5 4
STL 1 5 4
TB 1 5 4
MIA 0 4 4
NO 0 5 5
CAR -1 3 4
NE -1 3 4
OAK -1 3 4
SF -1 3 4
CLE -1 4 5
NYJ -1 4 5
TEN -1 4 5
SD -2 2 4
ATL -2 3 5
HOU -2 3 5
SEA -2 3 5
WAS -2 3 5
JAC -3 2 5
CHI -3 3 6
KC -3 4 7
PHI -3 4 7
BAL -4 2 6
DET -4 3 7
DEN -4 4 8
CIN -5 2 7
Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule)
  EOS Good Bad
MIN 3 3 0
DAL 2 3 1
NYJ 2 3 1
OAK 1 2 1
NYG 1 2 1
PIT 1 3 2
HOU 0 0 0
NE 0 1 1
IND 0 1 1
NO 0 2 2
MIA 0 2 2
DET 0 2 2
CHI 0 2 2
ARI 0 2 2
GB -1 1 2
JAC -1 1 2
CIN -1 1 2
CAR -1 1 2
ATL -1 1 2
WAS -1 1 2
TEN -1 1 2
TB -1 2 3
STL -1 1 2
SF -1 1 2
SEA -1 1 2
BAL -2 0 2
BUF -2 0 2
DEN -2 1 3
KC -2 1 3
CLE -3 0 3
PHI -3 0 3
SD -3 0 3
Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
  EOS Good Bad
BUF 3 3 0
SF 2 2 0
ATL 1 1 0
HOU 1 1 0
IND 1 1 0
MIA 1 1 0
MIN 1 1 0
PIT 1 1 0
TB 1 1 0
TEN 1 1 0
DAL 1 2 1
GB 1 2 1
SD 0 0 0
STL 0 0 0
ARI 0 1 1
BAL 0 1 1
CLE 0 1 1
KC 0 1 1
NE 0 1 1
NYG 0 1 1
OAK 0 1 1
PHI 0 1 1
CAR -1 0 1
CHI -1 0 1
CIN -1 0 1
DEN -1 0 1
JAC -1 0 1
NYJ -1 0 1
SEA -1 0 1
DET -1 1 2
NO -1 1 2
WAS -1 1 2

Week - By - Week

TM 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI SF @JAC IND BYE HOU @SEA @NYG CAR @CHI SEA @STL @TEN MIN @SF @DET STL
ATL MIA CAR @NE BYE @SF CHI @DAL @NO WAS @CAR @NYG TB PHI NO @NYJ BUF
BAL KC @SD CLE @NE CIN @MIN BYE DEN @CIN @CLE IND PIT @GB DET CHI @PIT
BUF @NE TB NO @MIA CLE @NYJ @CAR HOU BYE @TEN @JAC MIA NYJ @KC NE @ATL
CAR PHI @ATL @DAL BYE WAS @TB BUF @ARI @NO ATL MIA @NYJ TB @NE MIN @NYG
CHI @GB PIT @SEA DET BYE @ATL @CIN CLE ARI @SF PHI @MIN STL GB @BAL MIN
CIN DEN @GB PIT @CLE @BAL HOU CHI BYE BAL @PIT @OAK CLE DET @MIN @SD KC
CLE MIN @DEN @BAL CIN @BUF @PIT GB @CHI BYE BAL @DET @CIN SD PIT @KC OAK
DAL @TB NYG CAR @DEN @KC BYE ATL SEA @PHI @GB WAS OAK @NYG SD @NO @WAS
DEN @CIN CLE @OAK DAL NE @SD BYE @BAL PIT @WAS SD NYG @KC @IND OAK @PHI
DET @NO MIN WAS @CHI PIT @GB BYE STL @SEA @MIN CLE GB @CIN @BAL ARI @SF
GB CHI CIN @STL @MIN BYE DET @CLE MIN @TB DAL SF @DET BAL @CHI @PIT SEA
HOU NYJ @TEN JAC OAK @ARI @CIN SF @BUF @IND BYE TEN IND @JAC SEA @STL @MIA
IND JAC @MIA @ARI SEA @TEN BYE @STL SF HOU NE @BAL @HOU TEN DEN @JAC NYJ
JAC @IND ARI @HOU TEN @SEA STL BYE @TEN KC @NYJ BUF @SF HOU MIA IND @NE
KC @BAL OAK @PHI NYG DAL @WAS SD BYE @JAC @OAK PIT @SD DEN BUF CLE @CIN
MIA @ATL IND @SD BUF NYJ BYE NO @NYJ @NE TB @CAR @BUF NE @JAC @TEN HOU
MIN @CLE @DET SF GB @STL BAL @PIT @GB BYE DET SEA CHI @ARI CIN @CAR @CHI
NE BUF @NYJ ATL BAL @DEN TEN @TB BYE MIA @IND NYJ @NO @MIA CAR @BUF JAC
NO DET @PHI @BUF NYJ BYE NYG @MIA ATL CAR @STL @TB NE @WAS @ATL DAL TB
NYG WAS @DAL @TB @KC OAK @NO ARI @PHI SD BYE ATL @DEN DAL PHI @WAS CAR
NYJ @HOU NE TEN @NO @MIA BUF @OAK MIA BYE JAC @NE CAR @BUF @TB ATL @IND
OAK SD @KC DEN @HOU @NYG PHI NYJ @SD BYE KC CIN @DAL @PIT WAS @DEN @CLE
PHI @CAR NO KC BYE TB @OAK @WAS NYG DAL @SD @CHI WAS @ATL @NYG SF DEN
PIT TEN @CHI @CIN SD @DET CLE MIN BYE @DEN CIN @KC @BAL OAK @CLE GB BAL
SD @OAK BAL MIA @PIT BYE DEN @KC OAK @NYG PHI @DEN KC @CLE @DAL CIN @TEN
SEA STL @SF CHI @IND JAC ARI BYE @DAL DET @ARI @MIN @STL SF @HOU TB @GB
SF @ARI SEA @MIN STL ATL BYE @HOU @IND TEN CHI @GB JAC @SEA ARI @PHI DET
STL @SEA @WAS GB @SF MIN @JAC IND @DET BYE NO ARI SEA @CHI @TEN HOU @ARI
TB DAL @BUF NYG @WAS @PHI CAR NE BYE GB @MIA NO @ATL @CAR NYJ @SEA @NO
TEN @PIT HOU @NYJ @JAC IND @NE BYE JAC @SF BUF @HOU ARI @IND STL MIA SD
WAS @NYG STL @DET TB @CAR KC PHI BYE @ATL DEN @DAL @PHI NO @OAK NYG DAL

Related Articles

Ease of Schedule 2.0 for Running Backs
Ease of Schedule 2.0 for Quarterbacks
2009 NFL Draft Coverage
NFL Team Reports
a d v e r t i s e m e n t
a d v e r t i s e m e n t