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Better Than Average (BTA) Rankings - Wide Receivers
David Dorey
June 1, 2009
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Other BTA Positions:  Quarterback  |  Running Back  |  Wide Receiver  |  Tight End

Better Than Average (BTA) was developed to show how players truly rank between themselves by looking at every game from 2009 and for each defense and determining three things:

"8" - Which players scored in the top 8 game performances for fantasy points allowed by a defense. Basically, which players had an above average performance (top 8 in a 16 game season) that a defense gave up.

"4" - Which players scored in the top 4 in game performances for fantasy points allowed by a defense.

"1" - Who had the most fantasy points scored in a game against each defense last season. There could only by 32 such events since each defense can only allow one "best game".

BTA - Simply adding up the 1, 4 and 8 values to arrive at a numerical expression of how effective a wide receiver truly was last year compared to all other wideouts. The ease or strength of schedule doesn't matter. Only what a player did against all other players in that position against that defense.

Multiple "Best Games"
Andre Johnson 3
Calvin Johnson 2
Larry Fitzgerald 2
Anquan Boldin 2
Brandon Marshall 2
Eddie Royal 2

It is a challenge enough for any wideout to turn in the best performance against any defense given that it will typically face at least three per week. To do it more than once is a major feat and to no surprise, Andre Johnson and Calvin Johnson both managed to do it and Andre had a league high three games where he outperformed all other wideouts that would end up facing that defense for the season. Both the Arizona wideouts logged two each but a surprise was that both Denver receivers also had a couple "best games". Sort of calls into question why they would allow Jay Cutler to leave. The Broncos are likely to have much less production in the passing game this year while the Bears get the great quarterback in a run-first system with no receivers.

These numbers draw a line to why you want to get players from the big passing teams. Both Arizona and Denver players were rated high in BTA and Kevin Walter in Houston ranked 7th best to join Andre Johnson. Marques Colston had a down year but still ended with respectable numbers while Lance Moore was the surprise player there. Bottom line - better to get part of a high-powered passing attack than to rely on the best player from a poor passing team.

NAME   1     4     8   BTA NAME   1     4     8   BTA     1     4     8   BTA
Calvin Johnson 2 6 10 18 Braylon Edwards 1 2 2 5 Devin Hester 0 0 2 2
Larry Fitzgerald 2 5 11 18 Chad Johnson 0 2 3 5 Domenik Hixon 0 1 1 2
Andre Johnson 3 5 8 16 DeSean Jackson 0 1 4 5 Jabar Gaffney 0 1 1 2
Anquan Boldin 2 7 7 16 Devery Henderson 1 2 2 5 Javon Walker 0 1 1 2
Steve Smith 1 6 7 14 Justin Gage 1 2 2 5 Josh Morgan 0 1 1 2
Terrell Owens 1 3 9 13 Mark Clayton 1 1 3 5 Malcolm Floyd 0 0 2 2
Kevin Walter 0 5 7 12 Marvin Harrison 1 1 3 5 Michael Jenkins 0 1 1 2
Reggie Wayne 1 5 6 12 Steve Breaston 0 1 4 5 Miles Austin 0 0 2 2
Antonio Bryant 1 5 5 11 Deion Branch 0 2 2 4 Wes Welker 0 0 2 2
Randy Moss 0 5 6 11 Donnie Avery 1 1 2 4 Antwaan Randle El 0 0 1 1
Brandon Marshall 2 3 5 10 Jerricho Cotchery 0 1 3 4 Brandon Stokley 0 0 1 1
Eddie Royal 2 3 5 10 Johnnie Lee Higgins 0 1 3 4 Chris Henry 0 0 1 1
Lance Moore 0 4 6 10 Lee Evans 0 1 3 4 Demetrius Williams 0 0 1 1
Roddy White 1 3 6 10 Matt Jones 0 1 3 4 Harry Douglas 0 0 1 1
Bernard Berrian 0 3 6 9 Muhsin Muhammad 1 1 2 4 James Jones 0 0 1 1
Derrick Mason 0 3 6 9 Plaxico Burress 0 2 2 4 Koren Robinson 0 0 1 1
Greg Jennings 1 1 7 9 Amani Toomer 0 1 2 3 Mark Bradley 0 0 1 1
Santana Moss 1 3 5 9 Ashley Lelie 0 1 2 3 Marty Booker 0 0 1 1
Vincent Jackson 0 4 5 9 Dennis Northcutt 0 1 2 3 Michael Clayton 0 0 1 1
Marques Colston 1 2 5 8 Dwayne Bowe 0 1 2 3 Mike Walker 0 0 1 1
T.J. Houshmandzadeh 1 3 4 8 Greg Camarillo 0 0 3 3 Patrick Crayton 0 0 1 1
Hines Ward 0 2 5 7 Hank Baskett 1 1 1 3 Rashied Davis 0 0 1 1
Donald Driver 0 2 4 6 Jerheme Urban 0 0 3 3 Reggie Williams 0 0 1 1
Isaac Bruce 0 1 5 6 Nate Washington 0 0 3 3 Robert Meachem 0 0 1 1
Laveranues Coles 1 1 4 6 Santonio Holmes 0 1 2 3 Sinorice Moss 0 0 1 1
Ted Ginn Jr. 1 1 4 6 Brandon Lloyd 0 1 1 2 Torry Holt 0 0 1 1
Anthony Gonzalez 0 2 3 5 Chris Chambers 0 1 1 2          

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