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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

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The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late

Prediction: CIN 10, GB 24

Saturday Update: Jennings was still limited in practice on Friday but is listed as probable. He's safe to play this week and should have a nice game against the Bengals.

Friday Update: Greg Jennings was reported as limited in practice this week but he's just nursing a minor wrist sprain that will have no bearing on Sunday. He's still safe to play and should have a nice game against the visiting Bengals.

The Bengals have certainly won their share of heartbreakers in the past but perhaps none so painful as the improbable carom shot that landed in Brandon Stokley's hands for his only catch in the game. That loss will be hard to shake and hitting the road to face a new Packers defense is hardly the way to turn the ship around. The Packers had a comeback win over the Bears and proved their new defense is every bit as impressive in the regular season as it was in the preseason. It'd be nice to think the Bengals could win this but it would be nice to think you cannot stop an opponent from scoring from 87 yards out with 27 seconds left to play.

Cincinnati Bengals (0-1)
Homefield: Paul Brown Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 DEN 7-12 -5 42.5
2 @GB - +9 42
3 PIT - - -
4 @CLE - - -
5 @BAL - - -
6 HOU - - -
7 CHI - - -
8 BYE - - -
9 BAL - - -
10 @PIT - - -
11 @OAK - - -
12 CLE - - -
13 DET - - -
14 @MIN - - -
15 @SD - - -
16 KC - - -
17 @NYJ - - -
CIN at GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer     250,1
RB Cedric Benson 50 20  
TE Daniel Coats   10  
WR Chad Ochocinco   80,1  
WR Laveranues Coles   40  
WR Andre Caldwell   60  
PK Shayne Graham 1 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: At some point you have to feel bad for the Bungles Bengals. The defense has obviously improved and a home game sees them comeback and almost, should have but didn't win. That has to be telling on their psyche since every season they have to convince themselves that this is a new year and good things can happen. So far, same old, same old.

Quarterback: Carson Palmer was reasonably back to form last week when he completed 21 of 33 for 247 yards but he failed to score and tossed two interceptions. He moved the ball fine between the 20's but came up short each time he neared the goal line. Still, it has to be somewhat encouraging that all receivers not named Laveranues got involved. Plenty to grow on for this season.

Palmer will be tested this week since the Packers defense is at home again and were just a force against Jay Cutler who threw four interceptions against one touchdown and had 277 yards. Since the rushing game looks bleak this week, Palmer will be chunking the rock. He'll have yardage and at least one score but will pay the price with turnovers.

Running Backs: Cedric Benson opened the year on a decent note when he ran for 76 yards on 21 carries ( 3.6 YPC) and scored one touchdown along with four receptions for 32 yards. In total - a decent fantasy game. The lower average rush is a major worry because it may not get much better than the visiting Broncos. Notable too was that Bernard Scott only had two carries and two catches. Benson is one of the few remaining full-time backs with almost no sharing at least for now.

The Packers will thwart this rushing attack, considering that they just held Matt Forte to 55 yards on 25 carries. Expect low numbers from Benson again.

Wide Receivers: While Palmer connected well with his wideouts overall, it wasn't all good news. Chad Ochocinco had five receptions for 89 yards and Andre Caldwell delivered six catches for 54 yards. But newly acquired Laveranues Coles only had one catch and dropped three passes. He was guarded on occasion by Champ Bailey but for the most part, he just did not hang onto the ball. That led Palmer to ignoring him most of the second half. Also Chris Henry, the player who is only #4 on the depth chart though somehow on the sleeper radar of many fantasy fans, only had one catch and only had two passes thrown his way.

Caldwell was genuinely impressive and Ochocinco delivered the goods while being the primary focus of the secondary.

This week whatever good that happens will almost certainly be right here with the wideouts. So long as Palmer has time to throw, he should mirror the performance of Cutler to a degree and post decent numbers by spreading the ball around. I like Ochocinco to score here as did Hester last week. Spreading it around will limit the yardage stats. Coles role will be worth following.

Tight Ends: To no surprise, the Bengals did not roll out Chase Coffman yet but Daniel Coats only had one catch. No fantasy value here.

Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 27 13 17 28 31 27
Preventing Fantasy Points    GB 24 4 29 7 17 18

Green Bay Packers (1- 0)
Homefield: Lambeau Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 CHI 21-15 -4 46
2 CIN - -9 42
3 @STL - - -
4 @MIN - - -
5 BYE - - -
6 DET - - -
7 @CLE - - -
8 MIN - - -
9 @TB - - -
10 DAL - - -
11 SF - - -
12 @DET - - -
13 BAL - - -
14 @CHI - - -
15 @PIT - - -
16 SEA - - -
17 @ARI - - -
GB vs CIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers     220,2
RB Ryan Grant 90,1 10  
TE Donald Lee  


WR Greg Jennings   80,1  
WR Donald Driver   50  
WR James Jones   10  
PK Mason Crosby 1 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes:

The Packers 3-4 defense was impressive against the Bears and while it only recorded three sacks, the aggressive defensive play calling kept the Bears stuffed in the rushing game and scrambling on many of the passes. Aaron Rodgers did himself a huge favor by leading the team on a later touchdown drive to win the game and help dispel the notion that he lacks the winning magic of Brett Favre. Nice win here and again next week in St. Louis helps the Packers head into week four in Minnesota with a 3-0 record.

Quarterback: Aaron Rodgers only passed for 184 yards but threw the game winning touchdown late to save the game and his stats both. The 50-yard strike with 1:11 left to play was a game changer and a potential season-saver as well. Rogers proved last year he could post the gaudy stats. What he did not prove was if he could win. Week one helps that cause and a better defense should help even more. It was troublesome to see Rodgers only produce 184 yards but he only threw 28 times and completed 17.

The Bengals pass defense has not been good in years, the only hope is opponents just run all over them instead and make them appear statistically good. They just gave up 243 yards and a score to Kyle Orton. Rodgers has to be worth no less than that and possibly with two scores. He cannot count on 87 yards from a batted pass but Rodgers won't need to.

Running Backs: Ryan Grant rushed for 64 yards on 16 carries with one touchdown against the Bears which was lower than expectations. Grant had all but three carries. He remains a safe play who doesn't share much at all though neither he nor any other running back had much of a role as a receiver. None had more than one catch..

He should get on track better with the Bengals showing up - figure him for a score and no less than 80 rushing yards with a chance at topping 100. If the Packers defense comes through, there could be plenty of rushing opportunities this week.

Wide Receivers: That late 50-yard TD bomb to Greg Jennings helped out many fantasy teams who were pulling their hair out until then. Jennings ended with six catches for 106 yards and the one score while Donald Driver turned in four receptions for 39 yards and no other wideout had a catch. The Bengals defense shut down the Denver passing game last week up until the fateful 87 yard game winner but that was against Kyle Orton in a new system. Both wideouts should post at least fantasy relevant numbers but a big game would require a deep pass - always a possibility on this team.

Tight Ends: Donald Lee had three receptions last week but only gained eight yards. Jermichael Finley had just one catch and his status as a sleeper tight end remains highly speculative. But the Broncos just recently had success throwing to their tight ends so expect to see both players in the box score with at least minimal yardage

Gaining Fantasy Points GB 25 21 13 29 14 7
Preventing Fantasy Points    CIN 15 5 21 17 15 21

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~ 2009 ~
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