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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
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The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Bye Week

Prediction: OAK 0, NYG 20

Saturday Update: Boss is listed as doubtful and will not play this week. Ahmad Bradshaw was limited on Friday but is still expected to play and is listed as probable. Eli Manning only had some limited work on Friday and is a game time decision this week. He has looked good in practice and is not limping so it is more likely that he will play this week. But it is not a safe fantasy play since the Giants are going to focus on the run and there could well be a point in the game that the Giants have secured the win and Manning gets yanked to prevent any chance of further injury. I am not removing Manning from the projections but be aware of the risk he would carry this week.

Friday Update: As expected, Darren McFadden is out this week and thankfully removes any possible inclination to use him this week.

Kevin Boss has been held out of practice because of his swollen ankle so I am removing him from the projections. Eli Manning has not practiced either and may not play. Wait until after Friday practice for a final detemination when I am expecting I will be removing him from the projections.

This week has several games that should prove to be massacres and this one leads the pack The undefeated Giants are looking like even money bets to reach the NFC Championship while the Raiders have never looked so dysfunctional and inept. And that is saying something - truly. This is so messy that it's hard to imagine the Giants working hard this week in preparation. I rarely call for a shut out but am usually right when I do.

Oakland Raiders (1-3)
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 SD 20-24 +9.5 43
2 @KC 13-10 +4 41
3 DEN 3-23 +1.5 35.5
4 @HOU 6-29 +9.5 41
5 @NYG - +16.5 40.5
6 PHI - - -
7 NYJ - - -
8 @SD - - -
9 BYE - - -
10 KC - - -
11 CIN - - -
12 @DAL - - -
13 @PIT - - -
14 WAS - - -
15 @DEN - - -
16 @CLE - - -
17 BAL - - -
OAK at NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB JaMarcus Russell     120
RB Michael Bush 30 10  
RB Justin Fargas 30 10  
TE Zach Miller   20  
WR Louis Murphy   30  
WR Todd Watkins   20  
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey   20  
PK S. Janikowski no no no

Pregame Notes: Where to start? The Raiders went to Houston where every opponent has been running for hundreds of yards and multiple touchdowns and it was like they were playing against the Ravens in Baltimore after accidentally backing into Ray Lewis' new car. Complete and total ineptitude. The passing game has been gone since JaMarcus Russell showed up and now the rushing attack has disappeared. But it gets better. The NFL is looking into the reports that HC Tom Cable broke an assistant coaches jaw last summer which ends up to be a bad thing according to the league that holds coaches to an even higher standard than players.

This game might be worth watching like seeing a re-run of "Custer's Last Stand".

Quarterback: This is the NFL's version of "Great Mysteries." Why is JaMarcus Russell wearing a uniform and out on the field where a quarterback should be? It makes no sense. He has thrown for one touchdown against four interceptions. He has the lowest quarterback rating in the league and has completed 40% of his passes with an average of 125 passing yards per game. Tom "right cross" Cable stands behind Russell which is to say that Al Davis stands behind him which is to say that Al Davis is lost it.

Simple enough. Never, ever start Russell for a fantasy team.

Running Backs: Dump them. Find them on your roster and then purge yourself of all things silver and black. Facing the worst rushing defense in the NFL last week was still plenty enough to make the Raiders play like chained up dogs. And not the fighting kind, the mutt kind that just barks and can't quite reach his water dish.

Darren McFadden had six runs and actually lost a total of three yards. He later suffered a torn meniscus in his right knee and will require surgery that forces him out for two to four weeks. Hit the waiver wire with him and laugh at the guys who picks him up. Justin Fargas will replace him and that meant 24 yards on ten carries last week. When the dysfunction reaches down and quashes the simplest aspect of the offense like running the ball, it is time to sell high or low or just cut them free. This is a bad situation that may not get better in our lifetimes.

If you start an Oakland back, you are saying to your league that you expect to win so big that you are throwing in an obvious ploy to get negative points.

Wide Receivers: A complete, total and utter wasteland. And this will be their worst matchup of the year no less.

Tight Ends: Zach Miller sustained a concussion that has his status uncertain for next week's game against the New York Giants. It doesn't really matter since he's been worthless since week one. I will project for him for now.

Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 32 29 32 29 24 18
Preventing Fantasy Points    NYG 3 7 1 22 3 3

New York Giants (4-0)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 WAS 23-17 -6.5 37
2 @DAL 33-31 +3 43.5
3 @TB 24-0 -7 44
4 @KC 27-16 -9 42.5
5 OAK - -16.5 40.5
6 @NO - - -
7 ARI - - -
8 @PHI - - -
9 SD - - -
10 BYE - - -
11 ATL - - -
12 @DEN - - -
13 DAL - - -
14 PHI - - -
15 @WAS - - -
16 CAR - - -
17 @MIN - - -
NYG vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning     190,1
RB Brandon Jacobs 90,1    
RB Ahmad Bradshaw 60 10  
TE Kevin Boss 20
WR Steve Smith   60,1  
WR Hakeem Nicks   40  
WR Mario Manningham   40  
PK Lawrence Tynes 2 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: Hard to imagine the Giants are spending late nights trying to figure out how to contain the Raiders offense. WIth a trip to the Saints waiting on the other wide, there is plenty of reasons to not worry much about this week because that matchup in week six may end up repeated in the NFC Championship game. This week is like an oasis in the middle of a pretty tough stretch of games. Eli Manning could miss this week and it would not matter anyway.

Quarterback: Eli Manning has been very productive as he usually is during the first half of every season and he is averaging two scores every week and normally over 250 passing yards. But Manning has developed plantar fasciitis in his foot and will be going to Dr. Anderson for a second opinion. The prevailing prognosis is that he can play if he can withstand the excruciating pain. I will project for him to play this week and update it as more is known.

The Raiders have a decent secondary and would make this game be more about rushing anyway. Figure on not using Manning this week to be safe.

Running Backs: Ahmad Bradshaw is back to wearing his protective boot but he still played last week and gained 64 yards on 12 carries in Kansas City. That's not to say they would not allow Bradshaw to heal up this week instead of playing but barring that update, Bradshaw should play.

Brandon Jacobs has not been as productive this season and is only gaining 3.6 yards per carry with a lesser workload as well thanks to Bradshaw. Jacobs only had one touchdown on the year and hasn't topped more than 92 rushing yards yet. That could change this week facing the Raiders who have given up four rushing scores and well over 100 rushing yards to road opponents.

Wide Receivers: Steve Smith leads the NFL with 34 receptions, 422 receiving yards and four receiving touchdowns. Not bad for a guy that went undrafted in many fantasy leagues last summer. Mario Manningham had a hot start to the season but has since cooled off and hung around 50 yards each week. The rookie Hakeem Nicks returned last week and his one catch went for 54 yards for his first NFL touchdown. This was already an effective passing attack and now Hicks is making it more dangerous.

The Raiders have played very well in the secondary and Manningham draws the worse matchup with Nnamdi Asomugha but there is not likely to be a lot of passing in this game. The Raiders never allow more than one passing score and the Giants can win without needing to air it out. He won't get much yardage, but I still like Smith to have a touchdown like Bowe, Jackson and Marshall have.

Tight Ends: Kevin Boss had a sprained ankle and I am assuming that he can play this week. Boss has yet to score this year and has only a minimal role anyway.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 11 20 1 28 1 6
Preventing Fantasy Points    OAK 7 27 13 8 23 26

The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
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Bye Week
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