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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
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The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Bye Week

Prediction: WAS 13, CAR 20

Saturday Update: Stewart had a full practice on Friday but is listed as questionable on the injury report. He is expected to play but is a poor start this week.

Friday Update: Jonathan Stewart was limited in the first two days of practice to rest his Achilles tendon. I'll update again if it is likely that he will miss time but he has yet to be a decent play this year anyway.

This would have been a good game in years gone past. And that would be years. But for 2009 the Redskins show up as the worst 2-2 team on the planet with wins only at home over the Rams and Bucs who they barely beat. They did lose to the Lions in Detroit. The Panthers are 0-4 coming off their bye week but each of their games so far were against 2008 playoff teams. The only home game was when Philly blew them out in week one. These are two bad teams but the Panthers are due a win and the Redskins are more than up to another road loss.

Washington Redskins (2-2)
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @NYG 17-23 +6.5 37
2 STL 9-7 -10 37
3 @DET 14-19 -6.5 38
4 TB 16-13 -7 37
5 @CAR - +3.5 37.5
6 KC - - -
7 PHI - - -
8 BYE - - -
9 @ATL - - -
10 DEN - - -
11 @DAL - - -
12 @PHI - - -
13 NO - - -
14 @OAK - - -
15 NYG - - -
16 DAL - - -
17 @SD - - -
WAS at CAR Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     200,1
RB Clinton Portis 60 10  
TE Chris Cooley   70,1  
WR Santana Moss   50  
WR Antwaan Randle El   40  
WR Malcolm Kelly   20  
PK Shaun Suisham 2 FG 1 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Redskins actually have a decent defense which helps keep game scores lower but the offense each season just looks one year older and slower. Facing the Rams, Lions and Buccaneers literally is as good as it gets and yet the Skins only averaged 13 points in those games. Somehow they managed to have their high score (17) come on the road in New York. Actually one score came from the punter Hunter Smith so the offense is even worse then they seem. Smith has the only rushing touchdown in addition to being the punter and even he has a groin injury that forced him from the game last week. The passing game chugs along almost indifferent to the game situation and the rushing game is as lackluster as ever.

Quarterback: Jason Campbell threw for two scores in the last couple of games thanks to playing the Lions and Buccaneers. He remains the standard 210 yards and one score kind of quarterback who has even picked up a habit of throwing interceptions lately.

No reason why Campbell shouldn't manage his standard game here against a secondary that has allowed five touchdowns in the first three games but Delhomme will be the least productive quarterback that the Panthers have yet faced and on the road Campbell won't be any better.

Running Backs: After being listed as questionable and having only limited practice last week, Clinton Portis played and had his best game of the year against the visiting Buccaneers (hard not to do really). But that was only 25 carries for 98 yards and on the season he is averaging only around 70 rushing yards per game and still has not scored. He has no involvement as a receiver either . Portis has bone spurs in both ankles and will likely miss practice time every week this year. He appears to have lost the proverbial step and has only 281 rushing yards on the year despite playing what might be the lightest schedule in the league so far.

And Portis has such minimal help that it is not even worth considering. It's all Portis all the time and it is nothing compared to years past.

The Panthers have spent the last week preparing for this game and opponents have only had minor success against them. Portis has played against far easier defenses and only produced mediocre numbers. Expect that for the fifth week in a row.

Wide Receivers: The marginal passing numbers have left all wideouts short of fantasy value other than Santana Moss who had two very nice games in the last two weeks - thank you Detroit and Tampa Bay. His first two weeks combined for a total of five catches for 41 yards so short of facing one of the worst secondaries in the league, even Moss has no reliable fantasy value.

The Panthers have only allowed one passing touchdown to a wide receiver and none have turned in more than 75 yards. Too much risk here to assume that even Moss could be considered.

Tight Ends: The only decent play on the entire Redskins team is Chris Cooley and only because most tight ends are not receivers. Cooley has scored twice and had over 65 yards in three of the four games. When the going gets tough, Cooley is the primary receiver. That works out well this week against a defense that has allowed either 70 yards and or a touchdown every week to the opposing tight end. Expect decent yardage and a score here.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 15 28 23 8 25 27
Preventing Fantasy Points    CAR 23 28 5 24 12 32

Carolina Panthers (0-3)
Homefield: Bank of America Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 PHI 10-38 +2.5 43.5
2 @ATL 20-28 +6 43
3 @DAL 7-21 +9 46
4 BYE - -3.5 37.5
5 WAS - - -
6 @TB - - -
7 BUF - - -
8 @ARI - - -
9 @NO - - -
10 ATL - - -
11 MIA - - -
12 @NYJ - - -
13 TB - - -
14 @NE - - -
15 MIN - - -
16 @NYG - - -
17 NO - - -
CAR vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Jake Delhomme     210,1
RB Jonathan Stewart 40 20  
RB DeAngelo Williams 100,1 10  
TE Dante Rosario   20  
WR Steve Smith   70,1  
WR Muhsin Muhammad   50  
WR Kenneth Moore   20  
PK John Kasay 2 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Panthers needed a do-over for the season and the bye week came at an opportune time to regroup. Jake Delhomme has struggled again this year and the defense has yet to keep an opponent under 21 points. But the Panthers opened against three playoff teams from last year and two of those were on the road. The next month is far easier than what they have already been through but that doesn't mean the Panthers can take much advantage of it.

Quarterback: Though Jake Delhomme signed a five-year contract extension for $42.5 million in the offseason, he has not done that much to earn it. His 54.3 QB Rating is one of the worst in the entire league and his two touchdown passes are balanced by seven interceptions(most in the league) and two lost fumbles. He has remained at 220 yards or more these last two games but he's just not been able to get the job done. HC John Fox remains steadfast in his support of Delhomme but the point is that everyone is asking each week about his status.

Granted the Skins have not played any decent quarterbacks besides Eli Manning, but Delhomme is not coming into this with a vaunted passing attack either. Every opponent of the Skins has thrown for exactly one passing touchdown. Look for an average game from Delhomme because there is no reason to expect more.

Running Backs: It's been like Deangelo-Lite so far. After three weeks of playing, DeAngelo Williams has only gained a total of 180 yards on 41 carries and he has been limited mostly by a lack of carries than an ineffective average. He has yet to gain more than 79 rushing yards in game though he has scored two touchdowns. He's actually running well enough in the last two games with 5.3 yards per carry he just doesn't get the volume of work to matter. Sharing with Jonathan Stewart doesn't help either since so far he just takes away about ten carries but does nothing with them. The running game here has not disappeared, it's just contracted to Williams and he's been too limited in carries.

The Redskins defense has only allowed one rushing score but both Kevin Smith and Steven Jackson topped 100 rushing yards. And this comes in Carolina. Look for a score by Williams and decent yardage but once again the sharing with Stewart does little more than get in the way.

Wide Receivers: The struggles of Delhomme really come to bear here since no wide receiver has scored in any game this year and other than Steve Smith's 131 yards in Atlanta, there has been no receiver performance here remotely worthy of fantasy consideration. There have been several plays where good things almost happened for Smith but close doesn't show up in a box score. The intent of the bye week was to work on the passing game and the Delhomme to Smith connection in particular. Muhsin Muhammad has remained between 40 and 50 yards in every game this year.

The Skins have allowed four passing touchdowns to wideouts which came one per opponent so that is favorable for Smith but no receiver has produced more than 80 yards (coincidentally that was the "new good" Steve Smith in NY). The Skins have been very good against tight ends so that will force Delhomme to the wideouts for sure. Smith is worth a start this week.

Tight Ends: Dante Rosario has caught both of the Panthers touchdown receptions this season but they he has still not had more than three catches in a game and his only home game so far had no catches. The Skins had not given up more than about 20 yards and no scores to any tight end so far this season. Rosario was decent in the last two road games but he's a bigger risk at home on Sunday..

Gaining Fantasy Points CAR 27 16 27 13 28 29
Preventing Fantasy Points    WAS 4 11 14 5 17 23

The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Bye Week
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Early Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
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