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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
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The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Bye Week

Prediction: KC 13, WAS 17

Late Update: Portis is listed as probable and is not an issue.

Early Update: Clinton Portis has been limited in practice this week to rest his calf but it is just standard and he is expected to play.

Yet another ugly game. These teams are great when they face a good opponent because they are going to lose but it is harder to forecast what will happen when two bad teams collide. The Chiefs are 0-5 and on the road which bodes poorly but the Skins are 2-3 with close wins over the visiting Bucs and Rams - maybe the two worst teams. It favors the Redskins but you know anything can happen here except for a high score.

Kansas City Chiefs (0-5)
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @BAL 24-38 +12.5 36
2 OAK 10-13 -4 41
3 @PHI
+9.5 42.5
4 NYG 16-27 +9 42.5
5 DAL 20-26 +9 42.5
6 @WAS - +6.5 37
7 SD - - -
8 BYE - - -
9 @JAC - - -
10 @OAK - - -
11 PIT - - -
12 @SD - - -
13 DEN - - -
14 BUF - - -
15 CLE - - -
16 @CIN - - -
17 @DEN - - -
KC at WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel     180,1
RB Larry Johnson 50 10  
TE Sean Ryan   20  
WR Dwayne Bowe   40,1  
WR Bobby Wade   50  
WR Mark Bradley   30  
PK Ryan Succop 2 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Chiefs are 0-5 and deservedly so but they have been competitive in almost every game. They have also opened the year with a bad schedule of @BAL, @PHI, NYG and DAL so this week is not quite as back as may seem. The rushing game is in shambles again and the defense is struggling but the Chiefs have a shot to win this week. If they do not get a win here, it may be until week 14 when the Bills show up before the Chiefs are favored in a game.

Quarterback: While Matt Cassel has not been much for yardage this year - only 253 yards as his highest and half his games rang in under 130 yards - he has scored twice in each of his last three games. He has not thrown an interception or lost a fumble since week two. He does get pummeled each week and has 14 sacks in four games but Cassel is keeping the Chiefs in games much longer than the rushing effort has.

The Skins have allowed exactly on touchdown pass per opponent this year and almost all have turned in less than 200 yards passing in the low-scoring, mostly boring style of play of the Redskins. Expect what everyone else has done - one score and probably sub-200 yards.

Running Backs: For what it is worth, Larry Johnson has been a full-time back with very little sharing. But what it is actually worth is only 226 yards on 93 carries for an average of 2.5 yards per carry. He has not scored yet but has occasionally walked through the endzone to get to the sideline benches. Jamaal Charles is a non-factor who completely disappears in road games this season.

The Redskins have one of the better rush defenses and is at home. No reason to expect more than a moderate showing by Johnson if that.

Wide Receivers: While no wide receiver on the Chiefs have gained more than 74 yards in a game, the unit has produced six touchdowns so far and Dwayne Bowe has three of them. Bowe had a season high 74 yards at home against the Cowboys but has settled for much less on the road this year. This is a group of mediocre receivers who can score but none are reliable or consistent outside of Bowe.

The Skins secondary has been solid but four wideouts have scored against them this year. Then again, most receivers end up with 70 yards or less. I'll credit Bowe with the score but it could go anywhere. Bowe is just the better bet of many options.

Tight Ends: Sean Ryan has been good in a few games this year and scored twice but he remains too inconsistently used and most of his games end up with only one or two catches.

Gaining Fantasy Points KC 21 32 20 26 28 32
Preventing Fantasy Points    WAS 5 8 10 10 12 25

Washington Redskins (2-3)
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @NYG 17-23 +6.5 37
2 STL 9-7 -10 37
3 @DET 14-19 -6.5 38
4 TB 16-13 -7 37
5 @CAR 17-20 +5 38
6 KC - -6.5 37
7 PHI - - -
8 BYE - - -
9 @ATL - - -
10 DEN - - -
11 @DAL - - -
12 @PHI - - -
13 NO - - -
14 @OAK - - -
15 NYG - - -
16 DAL - - -
17 @SD - - -
WAS vs KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     250,2
RB Clinton Portis 80    
TE Chris Cooley   30,1  
WR Santana Moss   120,1  
WR Antwaan Randle El   60  
WR Malcolm Kelly   20  
PK Shaun Suisham 1 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Jim Zorn era may be drawing to a close sooner than later and this punchless offense has to pray each week that the defense can hold their opponent to no more than one touchdown or the Skins lose. This is a chance for a win of course since the only wins that the Skins have came against teams that had no victories. Then again - and get this - every team that the Skins have played this year including this week had no wins on the season when they played. So three times the Redskins became the cherry-poppers on the "W" column for another team. Six games into the season and they have never faced a team that has won a game. And yet the Skins are 2-3. This may be the greatest cakewalk to open the year in the history of the league and Washington did almost nothing with the advantage.

Quarterback: Jason Campbell has been slightly better in yardage this season and he has thrown for six touchdowns against five interceptions but he has such an easy schedule those numbers would be doubled by many NFL quarterbacks. Campbell is only as good as the defense is bad and even then he has not topped 200 yards in the last two weeks.

The Chiefs secondary is bad - really bad. They have allowed virtually all opponents not led by JaMarcus Russell to pass for 290+ yards and at least two scores if not three. Mark this down as a week that Campbell could actually worth a start. Even Campbell can take advantage of this one.

Running Backs: Clinton Portis finally scored a rushing touchdown this season when he played in Carolina last week and he even tacked on a receiving score as well. But those were his first scores of the year and he had only averaged 3.7 yards per carry against a set of opponents that should have provided astronomic stats each week. This Portis is not the same player as a few years ago and he is not showing the burst and speed that once made him formidable in the open field. Portis should already have several 100 yard games and he has none. Give that schedule to Adrian Peterson and he's hand back 200 yard games.

The Chiefs are bad against everything and even worse on the road. But since most teams succeed more through the air, I will only give Portis an average sort of game since none of the previous nice matchups proved to be more than mediocrity.

Wide Receivers: Santana Moss cleaned up in the Lions game and should be a big factor again this week. He has two scores and those were the only ones by a wideout this year. Outside of Moss, this is a sad unit and Antwaan Randle El has the only performance over 45 yards outside of Moss. This could be nearly like the Detroit game but that one saw all the wideouts other than Moss end with just one catch.

The Chiefs have allowed monster games this year for three players and twice they gave up multiple touchdowns to one receiver. This is the week to play Moss who should have a nice showing in this one.

Tight Ends: Chris Cooley was having a standard season with a couple of scores and decent yardage but last week had no catches - not even any throws as he remained a blocker in Carolina. But he's a bigger part of the offense than that and stands a decent shot at a score this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 22 25 24 14 26 24
Preventing Fantasy Points    KC 28 25 30 17 30 7

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