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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Bye Week

Prediction: NYJ 16, OAK 10

Late Update: Chaz Schilens remains questionable to play after being limited on Friday. He is no longer safe to start and may not play after having a setback. Jerricho Cotchery and Brad Smith both remain out and will not play this week. Braylon Edwards had a full day of practice on Friday and will play.

Early Update: Darren McFadden remains out but Chaz Schilens is having full practices and will play. CB Nnamdi Asomugha is also back to practice after injuring his eye which makes the Jets passing game even less likely to be productive. Both Jerricho Cotchery and Brad Smith remain out of practice and are heading towards missing yet another game. Braylon Edwards has been limited in practice because of his quadricep but remains on pace to play this week.

The Jets have now lost three straight games and have gone from being the Super Defense with the Wunderkind quarterback to just being the Jets again. The Raiders come off a win over the Eagles thanks to a big defensive effort and the one passing score. The win was huge since the team had seemed in complete disarray after being shutout in New York by the Giants but once again - you cannot mail in games in the NFL and hope to win. Even the Raiders will make you pay for it. No chance the Jets take this game lightly.

The Raiders won 16-13 when the Jets visited in week seven last year. This is bound to be another low scoring affair.

New York Jets (3-3)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @HOU 24-7 +4.5 44
2 NE 16-9 +6 46
3 TEN 24-17 -2.5 37
4 @NO 10-24 +6.5 46
5 @MIA 27-31 -1.5 36.5
6 BUF 13-16 --9.5 37
7 @OAK - -6.5 35
8 MIA - - -
9 BYE - - -
10 JAC - - -
11 @NE - - -
12 CAR - - -
13 @BUF - - -
14 @TB - - -
15 ATL - - -
16 @IND - - -
17 CIN - - -
NYJ at OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Mark Sanchez     140
RB Thomas Jones 80,1    
RB Leon Washington 40 30  
TE Dustin Keller   30  
WR David Clowney   20  
WR Braylon Edwards   40  
PK Jay Feely 3 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: After opening to three wins, the Jets have stumbled three times in a row and need this week to reverse the direction. Mark Sanchez is struggling like he was supposed to all along and the defense remains good but not good enough. Still plenty to build on but the Jets are not going to cruise to the top like the Dolphins did in 2008. The remaining schedule is better than most and there is still plenty of time to get back on the winning track. The Jets are only one game out of first place currently.

Quarterback: Mark Sanchez completed 10 of 29 passes for 119 yards with no touchdowns and five interceptions in Sunday's overtime loss to the Bills. Not only was that showing the worst so far but he was overthrowing players and looking out of synch without Jerricho Cotchery in the game. This bodes less positively for when the weather in New York turns cold and blustery. He has thrown only one score against eight interceptions during this three game losing streak.

The Jets passed for 197 yards in Oakland last year.

Leave Sanchez on your bench. The Raiders have plenty of problems but their secondary has not been one of them. One caveat - the Raiders top corner Nnamdi Asomugha left Sunday's game against the Eagles with a scratched and bleeding eye and if he misses this week it will make for a better passing effort obviously. But the Jets are highly likely to protect Sanchez from throwing much this week.

Running Backs: The Jets may be losing but Thomas Jones is not complaining since he has scored four times in the last three games and even had 210 yards against the Bills last week. Leon Washington has been pretty productive as well and had 99 yards on 15 carries last week. As Sanchez struggles, the Jets are turning more to the rushing game which has responded well (losses not withstanding).

Jones ran for 159 yards on 24 carries while Washington scored once on just three carries against the Raiders last season.

The primary weakness of the Raiders is with the run and the Jets will look to get the most they can from Jones and Washington. Jones is a sure start against a defense that has allowed six rushing touchdowns and three runners to top 90 yards against them. I like Jones to score at least once in this game and have solid yardage. Washington should also figure in with his role as a receiver.

Wide Receivers: Sanchez is not throwing to the wideouts as well now that Jerricho Cotchery has missed time with a hamstring strain. Braylon Edwards only managed three receptions for 40 yards despite being thrown nine passes last week. The Bills shut down the passing lanes with surprising ease last week and that bodes poorly for this weekend since the Raiders in Oakland will be at least that good. I will assume that Cotchery remains out for now.

No wideout had more than 51 yards against the Raiders last year. Safest play is to bench Edwards this week though he could have some success if Nnamdi Asomugha is out this week.

Tight Ends: Last week, Mark Sanchez finally turned back to his tight end and threw him a team high ten passes but Dustin Keller only caught two for 16 yards. Keller has never been above 31 yards in the last five weeks.

Keller only had one catch for six yards in Oakland last season but Chris Baker had 42 yards on five receptions.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 27 10 23 26 10 32
Preventing Fantasy Points    OAK 14 29 11 7 31 28

Oakland Raiders (2-4)
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 SD 20-24 +9.5 43
2 @KC 13-10 +4 41
3 DEN 3-23 +1.5 35.5
4 @HOU 6-29 +9.5 41
5 @NYG 7-44 +16.5 40.5
6 PHI 13-9 +14 40.5
7 NYJ - +6.5 35
8 @SD - - -
9 BYE - - -
10 KC - - -
11 CIN - - -
12 @DAL - - -
13 @PIT - - -
14 WAS - - -
15 @DEN - - -
16 @CLE - - -
17 BAL - - -
OAK vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB JaMarcus Russell     140
RB Michael Bush 20,1 10  
RB Justin Fargas 70 10  
TE Zach Miller   40  
WR Louis Murphy   20  
WR Chaz Schilens   20  
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey   1  
PK S. Janikowski 1 FG 1 XP  

Pregame Notes: The biggest surprise of week six was when the Raiders followed up on their thrashing by the Giants by beating the visiting Eagles who were favored by 14 points. It went off thanks to the one long touchdown catch by Zach Miller. But a win was exactly what this beleaguered franchise needed. The Raiders still have not scored more than one touchdown per game in the last five weeks but the defense has not given up yet. And for one shiny afternoon, JaMarcus Russell looked like a quarterback.

Quarterback: JaMarcus Russell passed for 224 yards and one score last week and he even completed 17 of 24 passes. Now granted - 86 yards came on one play so it's more like 138 yards which is much more familiar a territory for Russell. And he only completed one pass for two yards to all wideouts combined. But a win is a win. And nothing has really changed other than the return of Chaz Schilens to the wide receiver corps that he ignores anyway.

Russell passed for 203 yards and one score when the Jets visited last year.

The Jets have only allowed four passing scores this year and most opponents remain less than 200 passing yards. That's right where Russell belongs only without a score.

Running Backs: Darren McFadden has already been ruled out this week and Michael Bush only had six carries last Sunday because of a blow to the head that affected him. That left Justin Fargas to be the primary back and he had 87 yards on 23 carries for the best showing yet of a Raiders back. I will assume that Bush and Fargas share carries this week and Fargas will get the bigger share.

The Raiders rushed for 113 yards and no scores against the Jets last year.

The Jets are slightly weaker against the run and have allowed four rushing scores though the Raiders have little else to worry the Jets about. Figure on one rushing touchdown at most that probably favors Bush more as the bigger back.

Wide Receivers: I predicted -5 yards for Darrius Heyward-Bey last week but he only had -1 yards so he is exceeding my expectations so far. This is all without any fantasy value and though Chaz Schilens returns this week and he had some special times in the preseason, park your expectations at the curb with any wideout for the Raiders. It just has never happened this year. Stay away from all wideouts from this team for the entire season.

Tight Ends: What a game! Zach Miller scored an 86-yard touchdown last Sunday to help win the game and give him a total of six catches for 139 yards on the day. That is basically as much production as Miller had in the previous four games combined. And it was his first score on the year.

Zach Miller had four receptions for 57 yards against the Jets in 2008. Consider that the high side of what to expect this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 32 28 32 19 26 26
Preventing Fantasy Points    NYJ 2 19 5 11 17 27

The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
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Bye Week
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