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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
WEEK 7
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Bye Week
DEN, JAC
Monday
DET, BAL
SEA, TEN
*updated

Prediction: PHI 20, WAS 10

Late Update: Portis was still out of practice on Friday but since he is playing in a Monday Night game, consider that the same as missing a Thursday in other weeks. He is still expected to play and nothing has been said or done by the Redskins to suggest otherwise. No need to change the projections but checking on him after Saturday practice would be prudent.

Early Update: Clinton Portis was held out of practice saying that he had multiple injuries to his leg, ankles and feet but that he would play this week. It is a Monday night game so you would have no other options should he be a scratch but he's been banged up every week and rests instead of practices. He is expected to play. Kevin Curtis remains out of practice but is not expected to play.

Yeah, baby. What a Monday night game. The Eagles come off losing to the Raiders which is the NFL equivalent of wearing a dunce cap for a week. The Redskins most recent loss went to the Chiefs who had previously beaten no one. Both teams were embarrassed with their performances last week but only one of them can do anything about it.

The Skins swept the Eagles in 2008, winning 23-17 in Philly and later 10-3 at home.

Philadelphia Eagles (3-2))
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @CAR 38-10 -2.5 43.5
2 NO 22-48 -3 46.5
3 KC 34-14 -9.5 42.5
4 BYE -    
5 TB 33-14 -16 42
6 @OAK 9-13 -14 40.5
7 @WAS - -7 37.5
8 NYG - - -
9 DAL - - -
10 @SD - - -
11 @CHI - - -
12 WAS - - -
13 @ATL - - -
14 @NYG - - -
15 SF - - -
16 DEN - - -
17 @DAL - - -
PHI at WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Donovan McNabb 10,1   250,1
RB Brian Westbrook 50 50  
TE Brent Celek   50,1  
WR DeSean Jackson   70  
WR Jason Avant   20  
WR Jeremy Maclin   40  
PK David Akers 2 FG 2 XP  
Pregame Notes: Okay, so it was a trap game. The Raiders have a decent defense when they try and somehow even the Raiders can score a passing touchdown if you do not pay attention every play. That reversed the trend that the Eagles would put the whoop on all the bad teams on their schedule. After this week comes home stands against the Cowboys and Giants so winning here is important. Plus anything to distance themselves from losing in Oakland is a good thing.

Quarterback: Donovan McNabb was held to 269 passing yards and no scores in Oakland and he was sacked six times. But he only has one interception in his three games against five touchdown passes. He passed for 196 and 230 yards against the Skins last year and never scored in either game.

The Redskins have only allowed one passing touchdown per opponent and and no visiting quarterback has thrown for more than 186 yards. But there could be a further letdown this week coming off their own embarrassing loss at home to the Chiefs and the Skins know their head coach is a short timer. How that plays out is hard to forecast but relying on more than a moderate showing by McNabb is optimistic. The Skins have played a lot of bad teams though and the Eagles bring in the best offense since the Giants back in week one.

Running Backs: On the plus side, there is virtually no chance that the Eagles are going to use Brian Westbrook too much. Since returning in week five, Westbrook had six rushes in each game but finally had a good game as a receiver when he caught nine passes for 91 yards in Oakland. That was more than twice as many receiving yards he had produced in his first three games.

LeSean McCoy has been turning in about five or six carries each week as well but has not been used as a receiver. He has no fantasy value unless Westbrook is out.

Westbrook never had more than 45 rushing yards or 51 receiving yards against the Skins last year but had one score in the home game.

The Redskins have only allowed two rushing touchdowns this year and running backs have been limited to never more than 22 yards as a receiver. I am crediting McNabb with a rushing score this week but it could happen for Westbrook. His light workload as a runner is troubling and he cannot be considered more than a moderate play in Washington where the defense has been very good against running backs.

Wide Receivers: Kevin Curtis was inactive for the third straight game with an injured knee. He had practiced during the week, but was kept out of the game. DeSean Jackson was nearly blanked in Tampa Bay but bounced back nicely in Oakland with 94 yards on six catches against a good secondary that was focused on stopping him. Jeremy Maclin went from his monster 142 yard, two score game against the Buccaneers to only one catch in Oakland. But he remains the only other wideout of note other than Jackson.

No wideout had more than 49 yards in Washington last year.

The skins have been very good against wideouts again this year but four have scored and at least a couple have turned in more than 50 yards. The safest bet is that Jackson only has a moderate showing here and no score. It all depends on the team mood in Washington after their loss last week.

Tight Ends: Brent Celek remains a big part of the passing equation and even in the loss in Oakland still had 75 yards on four catches. He'll be more challenged this week against a secondary that has held tight ends to less than 30 yards for the last five weeks and only once has a tight end scored against them. The one passing score will end up with Jackson or Celek but I am favoring Celek slightly.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 6 17 17 7 7 2
Preventing Fantasy Points    WAS 5 5 10 4 21 23


Washington Redskins (2-4)
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @NYG 17-23 +6.5 37
2 STL 9-7 -10 37
3 @DET 14-19 -6.5 38
4 TB 16-13 -7 37
5 @CAR 17-20 +5 38
6 KC 6-14 -6 37
7 PHI - +7 37.5
8 BYE - - -
9 @ATL - - -
10 DEN - - -
11 @DAL - - -
12 @PHI - - -
13 NO - - -
14 @OAK - - -
15 NYG - - -
16 DAL - - -
17 @SD - - -
WAS vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     160,1
RB Clinton Portis 80    
TE Chris Cooley   50,1  
WR Santana Moss   40  
WR Antwaan Randle El   30  
WR Devin Thomas   20  
PK Shaun Suisham 1 FG 1 XP  

Pregame Notes: This should be a fascinating game since the Redskins seem to get worse every week and the bye is looming - will HC Jim Zorn still be around in week nine? The Redskins have a very unique schedule since this week is the first time that they will face a team that has won a game before playing against them. Though the Skins are only 2-4, they have arguably had the easiest opening to a season of any team in recent history. Their first six opponents had no wins when they faced them. Four times the Skins gave them their first win of the year.

Recent reports are that Danny Schneider has already spoken with Mike Shanahan who does not want to step in mid-season.

Quarterback: Sure, Jason Campbell has rarely looked NFL-caliber and he finally got the hook last week when Todd Collins was allowed to step in and act just like Campbell. The team is declining to name a starting quarterback for this week and in no case should you want to be a part of this.

Campbell never had more than 176 yards or scored against the Eagles last year. That is a decent expectation for this week. I will call Campbell the starter for now but you have got to be a better option if you are covering for a bye week.

Running Backs: Unfortunately, Clinton Portis finally had a decent game but no one noticed thanks to the loss to the Chiefs. He rushed for 109 yards on 15 carries but that included a 78 yard run where he ran out of gas. That means he had 14 carries for 31 yards otherwise which is what we would expect. There is no arguing that Portis runs much better at home but has scored in only one game this year.

Portis ran for 145 yards and one score in Philly last season and later gained 70 yards on 22 carries for one touchdown in the home meeting.

The Eagles rush defense has been very strong this year and no runner has topped 86 yards against them. Most settle for less than 40 yards and only three have scored a touchdown. Portis cannot be relied on for more than some yardage this week and that all depends on how the Skins react to all the drama from last week.

Wide Receivers: There has never been any fantasy value in these wideouts other than for Santana Moss when the Skins play a really bad secondary like the Lions or Buccaneers. That is not the case this week with the Skins certain to limit these wideouts as they always do.

No Redskins wideout caught more than five passes for 34 yards against the Eagles last year. Leave Moss on your bench this week.

Tight Ends: Chris Cooley is the only receiver with any consistency and he continues to be good for around 60 yards in most games. Cooley had a season high game of eight catches for 109 yards and one score in Philly last year but then only had 28 yards on four receptions in the home meeting. Expect less this week though the Eagles are weaker against tight ends. If there is a passing score, it will end up with Cooley.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 21 26 26 12 27 27
Preventing Fantasy Points    PHI 9 16 4 31 8 16

The Huddle
WEEK 7
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Bye Week
DEN, JAC
Monday
DET, BAL
SEA, TEN
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Early Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Game Recaps
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