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David Dorey
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The Huddle
WEEK 8
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Monday
Bye Week
CIN, TB
KC, NE
WAS, PIT
*updated

Prediction: MIA 16, NYJ 24

Late Update: David Clowney was limited in all practices this week because of his ankle but is still expected to play this week though he will return to being the #3 since Jerricho Cotchery has been practicing at least on a limited basis this week and is now expected to play. I am changing up the Jets receivers projections and adding in Cotchery.

Early Update: David Clowney was held out of practice to rest his ankle on Wednesday but then had limited work on Thursday and should still play. But Jerricho Cotchery has been back for limited work after missing last week because of his hamstring. If he practices on Friday, I will add him to the projections because he will likely play.

These divisional rivals traded road wins in 2008 with the Jets outscoring the Fins 20-14 in Miami for the season opener and later the Fins won 24-17 in New York in week 17. The Dolphins handed the Jets a 31-27 loss back in week five of this year. Miami is 2-4 and quickly becoming reach the point of "yeah, oh well" and the Jets are 4-3 and one game behind the Patriots. This time Rex Ryan won't see the wildcat formation and ask his assistant "what the heck is that?"

This is one of those scheduling quirks because the Fins only played one game since facing the Jets in week five. Maybe the Jets won't remember two weeks ago.

Miami Dolphins (2-4)
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @ATL 7-19 +4 43.5
2 IND 23-27 +3 42
3 @SD 13-23 +6 42
4 BUF 38-10 +2.5 37
5 NYJ 31-27 +1.5 36.5
6 BYE - - -
7 NO 34-46 +6 48
8 @NYJ - +3.5 40.5
9 @NE - - -
10 TB - - -
11 @CAR - - -
12 @BUF - - -
13 NE - - -
14 @JAC - - -
15 @TEN - - -
16 HOU - - -
17 PIT - - -
MIA at NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Chad Henne     210
RB Ronnie Brown 60 10  
RB Ricky Williams 40,1 30  
TE Anthony Fasano   20  
WR Ted Ginn Jr.   20  
WR Greg Camarillo   40  
WR Brian Hartline   50  
PK Dan Carpenter 3 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: This is a statement game of sorts for the Dolphins like it or not. If they lose, they fall to 2-5 and fight the urge to pack it in by mid-season. If they were to win, then hopes remain a glimmer that could burst to flame if they could ever get out of this horrible schedule. But the Fins have four road games in the next five weeks so that 0-2 mark outside of Miami could be the killer.

Quarterback: Chad Henne passed for 241 yards and two scores when the Jets visited three weeks ago but against the Saints he only managed 211 passing yards and no scores with two interceptions. He was actually the most productive quarterback to face the Jets who have allowed only two other passing touchdowns on the season. And no one else has passed for more than 216 yards (Tom Brady).

Expect a step down from Henne who won't surprise anyone only two weeks after the win in Miami. Expect moderate yardage at best and likely no score.

Running Backs: The duo of Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams have been one of the top tandems in the league. Brown has scored seven times and topped 100 rushing yards twice. Ricky Williams has six touchdowns with a high game of 80 rushing yards and work as a receiver as well.

Brown rushed for 74 yards on 21 carries and scored twice against the visiting Jets. Williams added 68 rushing yards and 70 more on three receptions. That was Williams biggest game for yardage and one of three multi-score games for Brown. But a small problem here. Brown has only played in two road games this year and had marginal yardage and zero touchdowns in both. And the Fins lost both.

Williams actually has two of his six scores in a road effort but also was held to moderate yardage away from Miami. The Jets have allowed only one rushing score over the three home games so far. The split hurts the duo here since they won't produce as big numbers away from Miami but I like Williams to get a score.

Wide Receivers: The buzz around Miami is all about Ted Ginn falling from grace and landing in the doghouse of HC Tony Sparano after dropping passes and disappointing coaches. Ginn has only had five catches for 77 yards in the last four games combined. The rookie Brian Hartline is impressing though and had three receptions for 94 yards against the Saints as the leading receiver. He's in line for more playing time and more attention from Henne.

Greg Camarillo and Davone Bess still contribute weekly but the wideouts have only combined for two touchdowns this season and minimal yards for the last month.

Ginn Jr. scored once on his two catches for 57 yards versus the Jets this year. Don't count on any of these wideouts turning in a decent game but if you are in a bind, Brian Hartline has at least some upside. He could flop just as easily though and only had one catch in the previous matchup with the Jets.

Tight Ends: Anthony Fasano only has one score on the year and never more than 38 yards in a game. On the season he has just 77 yards on 11 catches over six games.

Fasano scored once and had 38 yards on four catches against the Jets this season. His road best game was ten yards in Atlanta.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 29 2 21 31 10 19
Preventing Fantasy Points    NYJ 1 18 4 7 10 20


New York Jets (4-3)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @HOU 24-7 +4.5 44
2 NE 16-9 +6 46
3 TEN 24-17 -2.5 37
4 @NO 10-24 +6.5 46
5 @MIA 27-31 -1.5 36.5
6 BUF 13-16 --9.5 37
7 @OAK 38-0 -6 34
8 MIA - -3.5 40.5
9 BYE - - -
10 JAC - - -
11 @NE - - -
12 CAR - - -
13 @BUF - - -
14 @TB - - -
15 ATL - - -
16 @IND - - -
17 CIN - - -
NYJ vs MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB Mark Sanchez     170,1
RB Thomas Jones 70,1 10  
RB Shonn Greene 40,1    
TE Dustin Keller   20  
WR Jerricho Cotchery   50  
WR David Clowney   30  
WR Braylon Edwards   60,1  
PK Jay Feely 1 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: Time to make amends for the loss in Miami. Winning in Oakland with a big shutout was a step in the right direction but the Jets are just one game behind the Patriots and already have beaten them once. An AFC East win here is mandatory to keep pace. With only a bye week waiting after this game, the Jets can be focused and take care of business.

Quarterback: Mark Sanchez passed for 172 yards and one score in Miami this season and that has actually been his high game for the last month. He has not topped 172 yards since week one and has six passing scores against ten interceptions. His five interceptions in week six was the main reason why the Bills won in New York. The rushing game has been cranking up a notch lately and needs to help cover for Sanchez as he develops.

The Dolphins have allowed a passing score in almost every game but never more than one since week two. Sanchez has been pretty mediocre as of late so expect another sub-200 yard game with a chance for one passing touchdown.

Running Backs: The Jets lost Leon Washington for the rest of the year with a broken leg and his loss affects special teams and the offense. Shonn Greene will take over for his workload and was impressive cranking out 144 yards and two scores on 19 carries in Oakland during the shutout/blowout. Greene had only carries six times this season until Washington went down but now becomes part of the tandem backfield. If last week is an indicator, Greene can make a difference.

Thomas Jones has scored in each of the last four games and had over 100 yards in the last two weeks. Jones only gained 42 yards on 13 rushes but scored twice in Miami this year. Washington added 45 yards on 11 carries.

The Dolphins rushing defense has been mostly stellar this year and no runner has gained more than 80 yards against them. Jones had two scores last time but only two other scores were allowed in the other five games they played. What to expect here will depend on game situation but having the Jets at home, familiar with the Fins and needing some payback, I like there to be two rushing scores again. One obviously for Jones and the other for Greene. The interest part of this game is watching how the two will be employed. Washington was a true change of pace back. Greene is just Thomas Jones ten years ago.

Wide Receivers: Jerricho Cotchery remained out last week with his hamstring strain and while there is a chance that he plays here, I will hold him out of the projections until he practices and is cleared to play. Braylon Edwards had his first game as a Jet in week five when he scored once and had five receptions for 64 yards in Miami. David Clowney added 72 yards on four catches in that game but Cotchery only had one catch since he was injured.

Back at home, the Jets will likely run better but not need to pass as much. Edwards has been on a downturn since the Dolphins games three weeks ago and Clowney has been solid with a score last week. Expect only moderate yardage but I like one passing score that slightly favors Clowney.

Tight Ends: Dustin Keller still has just the one score from week two and has never been better than 31 yards in any game since the season opener. No reason why he should be a fantasy starter this week.

Keller had no catches in Miami this year.

 

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 26 5 23 26 11 26
Preventing Fantasy Points    MIA 20 7 9 21 27 27

The Huddle
WEEK 8
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Monday
Bye Week
CIN, TB
KC, NE
WAS, PIT
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Early Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Game Recaps
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