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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
WEEK 10
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Thursday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Monday
Sunday
Bye Week
Sunday Late
NYG, HOU
*updated

Prediction: DEN 17, WAS 16

Late Update: Portis and Cooley are already called out this week as expected. LaDell Betts missed the first two fays of practice and was only able to do limited work on Friday. The matchup already is bad and now Betts will be limited and not 100% if he does play. HC Jim Zorn indicated that the Redskins may use a committee instead and that drains all the fantasy value from this backfield. Brandon Marshall had full practices the last two days and is expected to play with no limitations.

Early Update: Brandon Marshall rested his back on Wednesday but had a full day on Thursday. Chris Cooley remains out and Clinton Portis is also consider out already this week because of his concussion.

The Broncos come off a thorough loss on Monday night against the Steelers that now drops them to 6-2 with only one game separating them from the Chargers who they host next week. The Redskins come off their bye with a 2-6 record and nearly no evidence that there is an offense. This could actually be a trap game since the Broncos are on the road after a short week and emotional loss and right before the biggest game of their regular season.

But this is just the Redskins.

Denver Broncos (6-2)
Homefield: Invesco Field
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @CIN 12-7 +5 42.5
2 CLE 27-6 -3 38
3 @OAK 23-3 -1.5 35.5
4 DAL 17-10 +3 43
5 NE 20-17 +3.5 41.5
6 @SD 34-23 +3.5 44
7 BYE - - -
8 @BAL 7-30 +4.5 42.5
9 PIT 10-28 +3 49
10 @WAS - -4.5 36.5
11 SD - - -
12 NYG - - -
13 @KC - - -
14 @IND - - -
15 OAK - - -
16 @PHI - - -
17 KC - - -
DEN at WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Kyle Orton     190,1
RB Knowshon Moreno 40 10  
RB Correll Buckhalter 50 30  
TE Tony Scheffler   10,1  
WR Brandon Marshall   40  
WR Eddie Royal   30  
WR Brandon Stokley   40  
PK Matt Prater 1 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Broncos have not returned from their week seven bye rested and ready. Not only have they lost to the Ravens and Steelers, but in both instances the offense could do almost nothing and the defense has suddenly taken a step backwards in both run and pass defense. What's worse is that after the Chargers comes the Giants and later road games in Indianapolis and Philly. The best part of the Broncos season may have been over with that bye week.

I like the Broncos to have a defensive score.

Quarterback: Kyle Orton was on a roll. The first three games he had a touchdown pass in each. The second three games, he had two scores in each. And these last two games against good defenses - he had no scores. And two of his lowest yardage games of the year. It is almost as if there has been game film distributed in the NFL about what the Broncos were doing on offense.

These two teams are more similar than may seem at first blush though the Broncos are healthier and better in most spots. But they both have great defenses that will impact the opponent who is struggling offensively. No team has thrown for more than one touchdown against the Redskins and the rushing game is going to hurt here so Orton will be throwing and getting that one touchdown. No one has thrown for more than 186 yards in Washington.

Running Backs: The Broncos have been relying on Correll Buckhalter more lately as a function of what offensive packages are in and the need to protect Orton when he passes. While Knowshon Moreno managed one touchdown run against the Ravens neither runner has done much since facing stout defenses these last couple of weeks.

The Redskins at home have not allowed any runner to score and the Broncos will be splitting carries so do not expect more than moderate yardage for either player.

Wide Receivers: Both Brandon Marshall (11-112) and Eddie Royal (5-74) enjoyed one of their best games of the year when the Steelers showed up on Monday but neither scored. Royal still has not seen the endzone this season while Marshall has been denied since week five. What is a big concern this week is that Royal has never had more than 18 yards in a road game this year. Four tries and almost literally no catches. Marshall's last two road trips (SD and BAL) had 49 yards as his best.

The Skins secondary has been very good but I like one passing score. That could favor Marshall since no other wideouts do much on the road but it is risky to consider it a lock. No wideouts have had a big game in Washington who has been preparing for this for two weeks..

Tight Ends: Tony Scheffler had 101 yards on six catches and one score in San Diego but almost nothing in Baltimore or Oakland. I am giving him the touchdown pass since the Skins have allowed as much twice this year but he's a huge risk to use this week and will not have much yardage regardless.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DEN 22 21 16 19 14 4
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 3 6 6 3 24 30


Washington Redskins (2-6)
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @NYG 17-23 +6.5 37
2 STL 9-7 -10 37
3 @DET 14-19 -6.5 38
4 TB 16-13 -7 37
5 @CAR 17-20 +5 38
6 KC 6-14 -6 37
7 PHI 17-27 +7 37.5
8 BYE - - -
9 @ATL 17-31 +10 41
10 DEN - +4.5 36.5
11 @DAL - - -
12 @PHI - - -
13 NO - - -
14 @OAK - - -
15 NYG - - -
16 DAL - - -
17 @SD - - -
WAS vs DEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     170,1
RB Ladell Betts 30 10  
TE Fred Davis   10,1  
WR Santana Moss   40  
WR Antwaan Randle El   40  
WR Devin Thomas   20  
PK Shaun Suisham 3 FG 1 XP  

Pregame Notes: The season just continues to get worse in Washington with Clinton Portis concussed and doubtful to play this week, more offensive line injuries and replacements to the previous injuries and replacements and an offense that has never scored more than 17 points in any game this year. This is a team that is already waiting for the offseason to see what stays and what goes for 2010. Consider the next four games - DEN, @DAL, @PHI and NO.

Ouch.

Quarterback: Jason Campbell hangs on as the starter but his leash is growing shorter even though it is hardly all his fault. He has a line that cannot protect him, no rushing support and a mediocre set of receivers. He has thrown nine touchdowns against eight interceptions and three lost fumbles while getting pummeled with 25 sacks so far. He throws for a score in most games but never for much yardage against a decent defense.

The Broncos bring in one of the better secondaries so expect that Campbell throws for no more than one touchdown. If that much.

Running Backs: Clinton Portis had a severe concussion last week and is doubtful to play this week. It would be wiser for them to save him for the later playoff run (2012). I will count him out this week and expect Ladell Betts starts with even worse results that Portis. The injury-decimated offensive line has left this rushing attack crushed in the backfield. Betts did score his first touchdown of the season last week in Atlanta but that was only the second touchdown rushed in by the Skins this year.

The Broncos were run over by Rashard Mendenhall in the second half last week but have been solid against the run otherwise. Only three runners have scored against them this season and most end up with sub-50 yard games. Expect that to happen here.

Wide Receivers: This entire unit has only accounted for three touchdowns and that was thanks to the Buccaneers and Lions. There have only been three instances of a wideout turning in more than 50 yards in a game and that was against a cakewalk opening schedule. Forget them all this week and really for at least the next month.

Tight Ends: The loss of Chris Cooley was replaced by Fred Davis who had a big game in week seven with 78 yards on eight catches for one score. So naturally last week he only had 26 yards on two catches and Todd Yoder scored on his only catch of the year. There will not be much yardage attached but I like Davis to catch the score as much as anyone. Low confidence in terms of a fantasy start though.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 19 25 23 8 27 29
Preventing Fantasy Points DEN 5 9 12 1 10 12

The Huddle
WEEK 10
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Thursday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Monday
Sunday
Bye Week
Sunday Late
NYG, HOU
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Early Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
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