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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
WEEK 12
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Thanksgiving
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Monday
*updated

Prediction: CLE 10, CIN 24

Update: Cedric Benson remains questionable to play and did not practice on Wednesday and Thursday before showing up for limited work on Friday. He remains a game time decision and HC Marvin Lewis said that Benson was ready to play but he still is not a lock. It will mostly depend on how his hip feels in pregame warmups. This is a divisional game so it does have some significance and after the Oakland loss they will not take the Browns lightly. Laveranues Coles is also a game time decision after missing practices until Friday because of a bruised chest. I am not changing the projections since the team wants both to play but it all depends on pregame assessments - check out the actives.

The Browns have lost five in a row and perhaps none so painfully as last week in Detroit. The Bengals somehow underestimated the Raiders and were upset in Oakland. This week is time to make it right for the Bengals who missed a great opportunity to pull away from the pack last week.

The Bengals won 23-20 in Cleveland back during week four.

Cleveland Browns (1-9)
Homefield: Cleveland Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 MIN 20-34 +3.5 40
2 @DEN 6-27 +3 37
3 @BAL 3-34 +13 38.5
4 CIN 20-23 +5.5 38
5 @BUF 6-3 +6 40
6 @PIT 14-27 +14 38
7 GB 3-31 +9.5 41.5
8 @CHI 6-30 +11.5 39.5
9 BYE - - -
10 BAL 0-16 +11 39
11 @DET 37-38 +3.5 37.5
12 @CIN - +14 38
13 SD - - -
14 PIT - - -
15 @KC - - -
16 OAK - - -
17 JAC - - -
CLE at CIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Brady Quinn     160,1
RB Jamal Lewis 50    
WR M. Massaquoi   40,1  
WR Josh Cribs   30  
WR Chansi Stuckey   40  
PK Phil Dawson 1 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: There is losing, like getting shutout by the Ravens two weeks ago. There is losing like the six games that the Browns failed to score so much as one touchdown. But scoring 37 points usually gets the job done. It is just more bad mojo for the Browns who are speeding towards a rebuilding year again next season. The next three weeks will likely all be significant losses that may let Eric Mangini end up with extra time to shop for Christmas.

Quarterback: In five games played this year, Brady Quinn only had one passing touchdown. He only had 205 yards as a season high. So when he passed for 304 yards and four touchdowns, he seemingly locked up the quarterback spot next year as well. At least until the end with the Browns defense proved even worse than the Lions - truly an accomplishment of sorts.

Anderson passed for 269 yards and one touchdown versus the Bengals this year and had a rushing touchdown as well.

This time around the Bengals are ticked from last week and the Browns have to be shellshocked to have lost that game to the Lions. Look for mediocre numbers here with no more than one score if that.

Running Backs: Jamal Lewis had his second best showing of the year last week when he ran for 75 yards on 24 carries and remarkably he still has not scored at all this season. None. Lewis was out in week four when they faced the Bengals and Jerome Harrison ran for 121 yards on 29 carries that day but has since been moved down the #3 on the depth chart while Chris Jennings is now the relief player.

Playing in Cincy where only one runner has scored and no one has gained more than 93 yards means hoping for just minimal yards without any lost fumbles.

Wide Receivers: Last week gave Mohamed Massaquoi, Josh Cribbs and Chansi Stuckey their first touchdowns as Browns this season. Forgetting that week - and you really should - only Massaquoi has any fantasy value because he consistently turned in around 30 yards per week and he also caught eight passes for 148 yards against the Bengals back in week four. There is no reliability here though and projecting even one score is probably a stretch.

Tight Ends: Steve Heiden had five catches for 33 yards and a touchdown against the Bengals this year but that was his only score on the year and Michael Gaines has been slightly more active now but there is no fantasy value here.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CLE 31 32 29 28 30 24
Preventing Fantasy Points CIN 16 7 7 25 8 10


Cincinnati Bengals (7-3)
Homefield: Paul Brown Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 DEN 7-12 -5 42.5
2 @GB 31-24 +9 42
3 PIT 23-20 +4.5 37
4 @CLE 23-20 -5.5 38
5 @BAL 17-14 +8.5 42
6 HOU 17-28 -5.5 46
7 CHI 45.10 -1 42.5
8 BYE - - -
9 BAL 17-7 +3 43.5
10 @PIT 18-12 +6.5 41
11 @OAK 17-20 -9 36
12 CLE - -14 38
13 DET - - -
14 @MIN - - -
15 @SD - - -
16 KC - - -
17 @NYJ - - -
CIN vs CLE Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer     240,2
RB Cedric Benson 80,1 10  
WR Chad Ochocinco   90,1  
WR Laveranues Coles   60,1  
WR Andre Caldwell   30  
PK Shayne Graham 1 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Bengals tried mailing in a win in Oakland and got caught. These next two weeks better be easy wins over the visiting Browns and Lions but then the schedule is tough with road games against the Vikings, Chargers and Jets left to play. That loss in Oakland could end up to be costly depending on the rest of the AFC North. Fortunately the Bengals own the first tie breaker with both the Steelers and Ravens.

The Bengals lost thanks to the fumbled kick off last week and had the week one carom shot to Brandon Stokley that beat them. The for the want of two fluke plays, the Bengals could be 9-1.

Quarterback: Carson Palmer scored twice in Oakland but both were rushing touchdowns - he has not thrown for a score in two weeks thanks to road trips to Oakland and Pittsburgh. But he had a seven game streak going prior to those games and passed for 230 yards and two scores in Cleveland this year.

The Browns are always getting beaten and they can lose in all manners. Expect Palmer to throw for moderate yardage and two scores as most likely here but he could turn it up a notch and do more. He just will not need to do it to win.

Running Backs: Cedric Benson missed last week with a hip injury that is considered a day-to-day issue but he never practiced at all last week. Based on current information I will project for Benson to play with only minor limitation if that and update as warranted after practice reports. A healthy Benson could have fun in this game.

Bernard Scott played very well in his place by gaining 119 yards on 21 carries and adding three receptions for 32 yards in Oakland. If Benson is healthy, Scott returns to his relief role of five or six carries per week. Larry Johnson is also figuring in, so Scott may play an even smaller role when Benson returns.

Benson rushed for 74 yards on 18 carries against the Browns this year.

The Browns have allowed eight rushing scores over the five road games this year and yet only two runners have topped 100 yards against them - most teams being happy enough to use the pass to win. Both the Ravens and the Bears had two rushing scores against them. Expect a healthy rushing total and a score that should mostly end up with Benson if healthy.

Wide Receivers: Chad OchoCinco only had three catches for 24 yards but scored twice against the Browns last time while while all three other wideouts had around 25 yards in that game. But Laveranues Coles has come on strongly since that week four game and has been turning in around 60 yards per week. Andre Caldwell remains the little used slot player.

This week the Browns are going to be work out from their ordeal in Detroit and that makes both Coles and #85 as attractive plays this week.

Tight Ends: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 15 20 8 31 24 5
Preventing Fantasy Points CLE 23 31 18 23 28 28

The Huddle
WEEK 12
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Thanksgiving
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Monday
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Early Injury Report
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