The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, GuestJOINHELP


Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
Print this page Print 
The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late

Prediction: KC 10, SD 24

The Steelers awoken the sleeping gnat last week and lost to the Chiefs who are now 3-7 on the season and bring in a 2-3 road record. The Chargers have won five in a row and at 7-3 are no longer pretending they are going to be someone this year - they already are and are tied for the second best record in the AFC. The only hope this week is that this turns into a giant trap game. Unlikely.

The Chargers won 37-7 in Kansas City this year.

Kansas City Chiefs (3-7)
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @BAL 24-38 +12.5 36
2 OAK 10-13 -4 41
3 @PHI
+9.5 42.5
4 NYG 16-27 +9 42.5
5 DAL 20-26 +9 42.5
6 @WAS 14-6 +6 37
7 SD 7-37 +5.5 44
8 BYE - - -
9 @JAC 21-24 +6.5 42
10 @OAK 16-10 +1 48
11 PIT 27-24 +10.5 39.5
12 @SD - +13.5 45
13 DEN - - -
14 BUF - - -
15 CLE - - -
16 @CIN - - -
17 @DEN - - -
KC at SD Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel     230,1
RB Jamaal Charles 60 10  
WR Chris Chambers   70  
WR Lance Long   40  
WR Bobby Wade   50,1  
PK Ryan Succop 1 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Chiefs got a big dose of confidence when they not only beat the reigning world champs, they did it in overtime using just good offense. The Chiefs winning ways won't extend into this week but are not necessarily over either with future home games against the Bills and Browns and maybe even the Broncos given their inexplicable decline following their inexplicable rise. And all this without Larry Johnson. Or Dwayne Bowe.

Quarterback: Matt Cassel had a surprisingly good showing against the Steelers when he passed for 248 yards and two scores since he had only thrown three touchdowns over the previous four games. Cassel threw for only 97 yards against the Chargers in week seven. He had one touchdown pass.

This time in San Diego, I like Cassel to better compete and while he'll improve on his last meeting with the Chargers (a season low), he'll still do well enough to get past one score and moderate yardage.

Running Backs: Kolby Smith is healthy again and will be the #2 in this offense but that has no meaning in fantasy terms and Jamaal Charles will remain the full-time back. He had 17 runs for 58 yards against the Steelers but scored via a pass reception. His strong showing in Oakland did not translate into a good game against the Steelers.

All combined the Chiefs only rushed for 97 yards on 25 carries with no scores against the Chargers this year.

The Chargers have only allowed three runners to score against them this year in San Diego and the Chiefs couldn't get a rushing touchdown back in Kansas City. Expect moderate yardage at best and no score.

Wide Receivers: With Bowe suspended, the passing was evenly distributed though Mark Bradley only caught one pass and Lance Long had just two for 37 yards. Chris Chambers had four catches but gained 119 yards and was the true game difference maker. Now Chambers returns all so quickly to the team that just dumped him three weeks ago.

Bobby Wade had 66 yards on four catches and Dwayne Bowe scored once on his two catches for 11 yards versus the Chargers this year.

When Chris Chambers played the Chiefs he had four passes and no catches back in week seven. Now he plays the Chargers so he cannot do any worse. With 60 or more yards per game, he's been more consistent than Bowe has been. This is still all rather speculative bit with no Bowe there it seems reasonable that the Charger are going to want to shut down Chambers for more than one reason. This set of receivers is not likely to have a monster game anyway and the one score could go anywhere.

Tight Ends: No real fantasy value though Leonard Pope just had his first touchdown of the year.

Gaining Fantasy Points KC 20 31 18 29 19 29
Preventing Fantasy Points SD 8 21 9 18 22 6

San Diego Chargers (7-3)
Homefield: Qualcomm Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @OAK 24-20 -9.5 43
2 BAL 26-31 -5 40.5
3 MIA 23-13 -6 42
4 @PIT 28-38 +6.5 43
5 BYE - - -
6 DEN 23-34 -3.5 44
7 @KC 37-7 -5.5 44
8 OAK 24-16 -16 41.5
9 @NYG 21-20 +4 47.5
10 PHI 31-23 -1 47
11 @DEN 32-3 -6.5 41.5
12 KC - -13.5 45
13 @CLE - - -
14 @DAL - - -
15 CIN - - -
16 @TEN - - -
17 WAS - - -
SD vs KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Philip Rivers     260,2
RB Ladainian Tomlinson 90,1    
TE Antonio Gates   50  
WR Legedu NaaNee   30  
WR Vincent Jackson   90,2  
WR Malcolm Floyd   40  
PK Nate Kaeding 1 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Charges continue to roll with five straight wins including a big win in Denver against the Broncos who beat them last in week six. There are still some stumbling blocks ahead @DAL , CIN and @TEN but these Chargers are on a definite upswing on both sides of the ball.

Quarterback: Philip Rivers continues to score in every game and he has not had less than 249 passing yards in a home game this year. He has thrown for 17 scores already against just six interceptions. Rivers passed for 268 yards and three scores in Kansas City this season.

Expect a very good game here by Rivers once again that will likely match his previous results from week seven. The Chiefs have already allowed four different quarterbacks to throw for three touchdowns this season and ample yardage to those who try.

Running Backs: In his apparent never ending season of injury, LaDainian Tomlinson is still hampered by his hip and rib injuries but is still expected to play this week. He has scored five times in the last four weeks and while his yardage has lagged past seasons, he has become the short yardage, goal line back as well. HC Norv Turner has also spoken about using Darren Sproles less and Tomlinson more.

Tomlinson gained 71 yards on 23 runs in Kansas City this year.

Expect at least moderate yardage and a score from Tomlinson but overall the Chiefs rush defense is better than it may seem.

Wide Receivers: Vincent Jackson has been quiet these last two weeks after scoring five times in the four previous games. Jackson turned in five receptions for 142 yards and a score against the Chiefs for his season best game. Malcolm Floyd also scored that week on his only catch and what was to be his only touchdown on the year.

Expect another very nice game from Jackson with a great shot at a touchdown. One other score will end up with the wideouts or it could go to Jackson for his second score.

Tight Ends: Along with Jason Witten, Antonio Gates has been banned from the end zone this year and has scored in only one game. His yardage has waned this year as well with most weeks coming in around 50 or 60 yards. Gates had 55 yards on five catches in Kansas City.

Gaining Fantasy Points SD 11 14 17 10 3 6
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 29 25 28 15 27 8

The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Early Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t