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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
WEEK 12
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Thanksgiving
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Monday
*updated

Prediction: WAS 10, PHI 23

Update: Clinton Portis is already been ruled out along with Chris Cooley and Brian Westbrook.

The Redskins come off yet another close loss and at 3-7 are already playing out the season. The Skins are 0-5 on the road and that matters big this week. The Eagles are 6-4 and tied with the Giants and only one game behind the Cowboys. They are 3-2 at home.

The Eagles won 27-17 in Washington during week seven.

Washington Redskins (3-7)
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @NYG 17-23 +6.5 37
2 STL 9-7 -10 37
3 @DET 14-19 -6.5 38
4 TB 16-13 -7 37
5 @CAR 17-20 +5 38
6 KC 6-14 -6 37
7 PHI 17-27 +7 37.5
8 BYE - - -
9 @ATL 17-31 +10 41
10 DEN 27-17 +4 36
11 @DAL 6-7 +11 41.5
12 @PHI - +9 40.5
13 NO - - -
14 @OAK - - -
15 NYG - - -
16 DAL - - -
17 @SD - - -
WAS at PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     200,1
RB Rock Cartwright 50 40  
TE Fred Davis   40,1  
WR Santana Moss   40  
WR Antwaan Randle El   40  
WR Devin Thomas   30  
PK Shaun Suisham 1 FG 1 XP  

Pregame Notes: The bad only gets worse with LaDell Betts now out for the rest of the year with a torn MCL and ACL and DeAngelo Hall may miss this week as well with a sore knee. Not even DT ALbert Haynesworth is sure he can play so there is no expectation that the Skins will be any better than they have been - and probably worse. On the plus side, HC Jim Zorn cannot be the first head coach to be fired. It's a small victory for him but one of very few of any kind.

I assume that Shaun Suisham will make it past Danny Snyder's temptation to demand he be released after missing two field goals last week.

Quarterback: No changes here with Jason Campbell to remain the starter for the rest of the season and Campbell putting up a consistent 200 yards and one score in almost every road game. He passed for 284 yards and two scores against the Eagles in week seven. He had a fumble and interception along with six sacks.

Campbell will do well enough to get that mediocre showing and the lack of a ground game will not be any help. Consider his high side as merely average.

Running Backs: Clinton Portis remains out with the effects of his concussion and may end up on injured reserve potentially since lingering vision problems are not a good sign. Ladell Betts is gone for the rest of the year and and leaves Rock Cartwright as the last man standing. Cartwright rushed for 67 yards on 13 carries in Dallas and added seven receptions for 73 yards. Quinton Ganther had a couple of carries and they re-signed Marcus Mason but for and likely until the end it will be Cartwright as the primary back here.

Portis only gained 43 yards on 14 carries against the Eagles last month.

Wide Receivers: The Redskins wideouts have been worthless in fantasy terms and had only three touchdowns this season and none since week seven. Santana Moss last scored eight weeks ago and has been stuck around 45 yards in every game since. Devin Thomas has a high game of 45 yards but mixes 30 yard efforts with games that have no catches. Antwaan Randle El bounces between 20 and 40 yards per week. This group is amazingly unproductive.

Moss caught six passes for 74 yards when the Eagles visited this year and Devin Thomas scored once while catching three passes for 45 yards. Those were two of the best three wideout games by a Redskin all year long.

No reason to expect more than mediocrity yet again.

Tight Ends: Chris Cooley will be in his walking boot for another 10 days at least and Fred Davis remains the replacement. He has been marginally effective and less so on the road where he had only two catches in each of the last two games. Fred Davis took over for the injured Chris Cooley and had eight receptions for 78 yards and one touchdown versus the Eagles. Once again, he remain much more likely to have the touchdown in this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 21 19 26 13 26 31
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 12 15 4 32 16 12


Philadelphia Eagles (6-4))
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @CAR 38-10 -2.5 43.5
2 NO 22-48 -3 46.5
3 KC 34-14 -9.5 42.5
4 BYE -    
5 TB 33-14 -16 42
6 @OAK 9-13 -14 40.5
7 @WAS 27-17 -7 37.5
8 NYG 40-17 -1 43
9 DAL 16-20 -3 47.5
10 @SD 23-31 +1 47
11 @CHI 24-20 -3.5 46.5
12 WAS - -9 40.5
13 @ATL - - -
14 @NYG - - -
15 SF - - -
16 DEN - - -
17 @DAL - - -
PHI vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Donovan McNabb     230,1
RB LeSean McCoy 70,1 10  
TE Brent Celek   50  
WR DeSean Jackson   80,1  
WR Jason Avant   30  
WR Jeremy Maclin   50  
PK David Akers 3 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Eagles made it past the Bears and now get a small respite playing at home against the Skins. At 6-5 they remain in strong contention for a wild card if not for the divisional title. The rest of the schedule is no cakewalk but it certainly leaves the season in the Eagle's own hands. Road trips to New York and Dallas remain as the most likely road bumps and yet the very games they need most to win.

Quarterback: Donovan McNabb has scored in all but one game this year and had more than one score in over half. While he has scored well at home his pass yardage has remained some of the lowest of the season in part because the Eagles often have the lead and merely rush the ball.

McNabb threw for 156 yards and one score in Washington this year.

The Redskins have allowed exactly one passing score in every road game this year with moderate yardage. McNabb won't have to press too hard to win this game and the Skins do sport a decent defense.

Running Backs: With Brian Westbrook out of the picture, the Eagles did not increase the use of Leonard Weaver at all and gave all the work to LeSean McCoy who rushed 20 times for 99 yards and one touchdown in Chicago. In the previous two games that Westbrook missed, Weaver had eight carries in each. For at least now, the Eagles appear comfortable with just using McCoy as a 1:1 replacement for Westbrook.

The Eagles running backs only gained 60 yards on 21 carries versus the Redskins.

The Redskins on the road have been much kinder to running backs and allowed a total of four rushing scores over the last four away games. Michael Turner and Kevin Smith both topped 100 rushing yards against them but look for McCoy to come in a bit shy of that mark. It was troubling from a fantasy perspective that the Eagles did not use McCoy at all as a receiver last week but he has a decent shot at one rushing score.

Wide Receivers: DeSean Jackson had two catches for 69 yards and a 67-yard run with two touchdowns versus the Skins last month. It was his best showing of the year and he has racked up around 100 yards in each of the last two games with a score in Chicago for his fifth on the year. Jason Avant scored there as well but is very inconsistently used. Jeremy Maclin continues his slow but steady progression into being an every week fantasy option.

I like the one touchdown to end up with a wideout but it could just as easily be any of them. Since CB DeAngelo Hall is out, it should help Jackson reach better numbers.

Tight Ends: Brent Celek only had three receptions for eight yards against the Skins this year. But Celek always produces better at home so expect at least solid yardage and a chance he could score as well. The Skins have only allowed two tight ends to score so far band kept most to around 40 yards but Celek at home should be a bit better than that.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 5 23 9 12 4 2
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 4 4 6 5 18 27

The Huddle
WEEK 12
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Thanksgiving
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Monday
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Early Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
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