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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
WEEK 13
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Thursday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Sunday
Monday
*updated

Prediction: NO 24, WAS 20

Friday Update: Both Reggie Bush and Mike Bell were limited in practices but are expected to play.

The Saints played so well on Monday night that it not only terrified the league, it probably scared the Saints themselves. The Saints reach 11-0 with a slam dunk over the Patriots. The Redskins are 3-8 but are actually 3-2 at home. Could be a trap game but that would require the Redskins to produce an offense. The Saints may be a bit hung over from Monday night though.

The Redskins won 29-24 when the Saints visited in week two of last year.

New Orleans Saints (11-0)
Homefield: Superdome
Sportexe Turf
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 DET 45-27 -13.5 49
2 @PHI 48-22 +3 46.5
3 @BUF 27-7 -5.5 52.5
4 NYJ 24-10 -6.5 46
5 BYE - - -
6 NYG 48-27 -3 47
7 @MIA 46-34 -6 48
8 ATL 35-27 -10 54
9 CAR 30-20 -14 52
10 @STL 28-23 -14 50.5
11 @TB 38-7 -10.5 51
12 NE 38-17 -3 56
13 @WAS - -8.5 48
14 @ATL - - -
15 DAL - - -
16 TB - - -
17 @CAR - - -
NO at WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Brees     230,2
RB Pierre Thomas 40,1 20  
RB Mike Bell 30    
RB Reggie Bush 30 20  
TE Jeremy Shockey   30  
WR Marques Colston   50,1  
WR Devery Henderson   50  
WR Robert Meachem   40,1  
PK John Carney 1 FG 3 XP  
Pregame Notes: What is left to say? In a game that the Saints wanted to show the world that they were real and belonged and that Drew Brees should be considered among the Mannings, Bradys and Favres of the world, they did exactly that. Brees had a perfect passer rating. The Saints crushed the Patriots on both sides of the ball. The domination was so complete that neither Brady nor Belichick did their normal wordplay around the fact they were kicked around by a superior team. Can the Saints go undefeated? The home stand against the Cowboys may be the most dangerous but then again - no more so than the Patriots were supposed to be.

Quarterback: Drew Brees has already been outstanding this year but on Monday he was perfect. A perfect passer rating when he completed 18 of 23 passes for 371 yards and five touchdowns with no turnovers. He only threw 23 passes. He averaged over 20 yards per completion. He already has 27 passing scores on the year and two more he ran in. He's topped 300 yards six times.

Brees passed for only 216 yards and one score in Washington last year.

The Redskins have only allowed one passing score to each opponent other than the Broncos (2). The passing yards in Washington have never been over 200 yards as well. This is Brees and you will start him anyway but expect a bit of a step down from last week.

Running Backs: Reggie Bush was a late scratch from the game on Monday. His knee had him considered questionable to play but he had been in practices and was expected to suit up. He should be back this week to make the three headed monster really come to life.

When Bush plays, usually Mike Bell takes a back seat. With Bush out these last two weeks, Bell was given 13 carries in each game and scored twice against the Buccaneers - slightly more carries than even Pierre Thomas had.

But Thomas does much more with his runs and also figures in as a receiver a well. Thomas has right around a dozen carries in most games and has scored seven times this year. Bush has a much lower workload than the other two but has scored six times this year including five in the last five games he started.

The Saints rushed for just 46 yards on 18 carries in Washington last year and Thomas scored once.

The Redskins are terrific at stopping the run and no runner has scored in Washington this season. The Saints can break that because they will come at the Skins in many different ways besides the standard running back play. I'll credit Thomas with the score but it could go to Bell or Bush just as easily.

Wide Receivers: The stats just keep piling up. Robert Meachem has scored in each of the last four games and has six scores over the last six weeks. He normally has moderate yardage but can catch the long pass as he did on Monday night. Brees looks for Meachem near the goal line. Marques Colston had been quiet for three weeks but then blew up for 121 yards and a score on four receptions last week. Colston steps up more when the games get bigger and the opponents are tougher. even Devery Henderson had a score last week and 116 yards - bookends to a similar season opener with ten boring games in between.

Robert Meachem had a the lone touchdown catch in Washington last season. Colston did not play in the game and no receiver had more than 55 yards.

The Redskins are good against the pass but have been burned by Bowe, Marshall, Avant, etc.. Look for scores that probably favor Meachem and Colston yet again but yardage will be moderate. It all depends on how big the hangover is from beating the Pats.

Tight Ends: Jeremy Shockey has minimal fantasy value because he has not scored since week six and had only two or three catches in most games. Shockey only caught two passes for 22 yards against the Redskins last year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NO 2 2 8 9 7 1
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 4 6 7 4 22 26


Washington Redskins (3-8)
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @NYG 17-23 +6.5 37
2 STL 9-7 -10 37
3 @DET 14-19 -6.5 38
4 TB 16-13 -7 37
5 @CAR 17-20 +5 38
6 KC 6-14 -6 37
7 PHI 17-27 +7 37.5
8 BYE - - -
9 @ATL 17-31 +10 41
10 DEN 27-17 +4 36
11 @DAL 6-7 +11 41.5
12 @PHI 24-27 +9.5 40.5
13 NO - +8.5 48
14 @OAK - - -
15 NYG - - -
16 DAL - - -
17 @SD - - -
WAS vs NO Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     220,1
RB Rock Cartwright 50,1 30  
TE Fred Davis   40  
WR Santana Moss   50  
WR Antwaan Randle El   30  
WR Devin Thomas   40,1  
PK Shaun Suisham 2 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: What's worse than winning only one of your last seven games? How about losing the last two by a total of four points. The Skins are going to have to trap a team to get any more wins and in reality, if they did it would only serve to get them a worse draft slot. The coaching staff will undergo the annual upheaval and Danny Snyder will horribly overpay for some aging veteran. There's not that much to play for really and yet there has been no quit from the Skins. Despite so many reasons.

Quarterback: Jason Campbell comes off one of his best games of the year when he passed for 231 yards and two scores in Philly and added a rushing score as well. That gave him 12 passing touchdowns on the season against 11 interceptions, three fumbles and 30 sacks. Campbell has been locked into being a game manager but even when he ends up throwing more than 30 times a game, the Skins always stay just a few points behind the opponent.

Campbell passed for 321 yards and one score when the Saints visited in 2008.

This time the Saints could be tired from a short week but these are not the same Saints of 2008. They have only allowed five passing scores over five road games so expect the one touchdown pass and moderate to good yardage depending on how well the Saints start the game.

Running Backs: Clinton Portis continues to have vision problems stemming from his concussion and will see more doctors this week. I will continue to consider him out pending clearance to play.

Rock Cartwright was limited to just 38 yards on 15 carries in Philly and added 26 yards on three catches. His role as a receiver is a bigger determinant of his fantasy value each week since there are no more soft defenses left on the schedule.

Portis rushed for 96 yards on 21 carries and scored twice against the Saints last season.

The Saints have allowed 13 rushing scores so far and three runners have topped 100 rushing yards. Look for a decent game from Cartwright with a shot for one score.

Wide Receivers: Santana Moss has been the only wideout that matters here for years and that has not changed yet though Devin Thomas may challenge that next year. Thomas has one score on the year but has been fairly solid around 40 yards per week for the last month and any consistency on this offense is remarkable. Moss scored last week in Philly but had gone since week three without a score. Set aside the Detroit game and this unit is one of the worse in the league every year.

Moss had a season best 164 yards on seven receptions against the Saints in 2008. He scored once and no other wideout had a score or more than 53 yards in that game.

Call it a hunch but I like Thomas to score in this game early since Moss gets attention and the Saints may start out slowly.

Tight Ends: The Redskins have placed Chris Cooley on injured reserve. That leaves Fred Davis as the starter for the rest of the season and he's picked up well for Cooley. Davis has two scores on the year and has been around 40 yards in most games since Cooley left.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 20 20 23 11 25 30
Preventing Fantasy Points NO 5 23 17 6 16 12

The Huddle
WEEK 13
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Thursday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Sunday
Monday
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Early Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
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