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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
WEEK 14
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Thursday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Sunday
Monday
*updated

Prediction: STL 6, TEN 27

Friday Night Update: Both Chris Johnson and Kenny Britt are probable on the injury report and expected to play. Johnson had a full day on Friday. Donnie Avery has been upgraded to probable as well and will participate even though he was limited in practice all week.

Thursday Night Update: Chris Johnson missed practice on Wednesday and was limited today but says he was just resting his ankle and there is no concern that it will impact this game at all. Steven Jackson has not practiced at all so far which makes three straight weeks but he has not missed a game and been productive unlike his team mates. Donnie Avery has a separated shoulder and has been limited in practice but is expected to play.

The Rams are on a four game losing streak and are 0-6 on the road. The Titans were on a five game winning streak until heading to Indy but at 5-7 still have a shot at a winning season. No matter what - the Rams are horrible on the road and the Titans won't overlook anyone.

St. Louis Rams (1-11)
Homefield: Edward Jones Dome
FieldTurf
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @SEA 0-28 +7.5 37
2 @WAS 7-9 +10 37
3 GB 17-36 +6.5 41
4 @SF 0-35 +10 37.5
5 MIN 10-38 +10 41
6 @JAC 20-23 +9.5 43
7 IND 6-42 +14 45
8 @DET 17-10 +3.5 43.5
9 BYE - - -
10 NO 23-28 +14 51
11 ARI 13-21 +9.5 46.5
12 SEA 17-27 +3.5 42.5
13 @CHI 9-17 +9.5 41
14 @TEN - +13 41.5
15 HOU - - -
16 @ARI - - -
17 SF - - -
STL at TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Kyle Boller     120
RB Steven Jackson 70 20  
TE Randy McMichael   10  
WR Donnie Avery   40  
WR Brandon Gibson   20  
WR Danny Amendola   30  
PK Josh Brown 2 FG    
Pregame Notes: Just another bad season is drawing to a close and the Rams are going to get a very nice draft pick next April and they need it. In almost every area. From a fantasy perspective, the season closes out with not much to show in progress other than knowing what doesn't work. Steven Jackson has been the over-used workhorse once again but nothing else on this offense has mattered. Donnie Avery has shown glimpses of talent but the rest of the passing game has always limited him.

Quarterback: Kyle Boller comes off one of his worst efforts when he had only 113 passing yards and no scores in Chicago. His only other road trip was to San Francisco back in week four and he only managed 108 yards and no touchdowns there. The Rams still need two more passing touchdowns to reach double digits on the year.

They will not likely get either here. The Titans defense has improved, plays better at home and the Rams are bringing almost nothing to the party.

Running Backs: As bad as this offense has been, imagine what it would have been without Steven Jackson. He has rushed for at least 89 yards in each of the last six games and scored four times until last week. But his worst efforts have come away from St. Louis and he faces a Titans defense that is very good against the run. He'll need to boost his receptions to maintain the same fantasy value but even that has been low this year with only three games over 25 receiving yards.

On top of a reduced ability to run in Tennessee, Steven Jackson continues to play with a bad back that has forced him to miss the all practices for the last two weeks. If his back ever gets worse, the Rams will need charity to avoid shutouts.

The Titans have allowed only one runner to exceed 55 rush yards in Tennessee so expect a lesser effort from Jackson who has either been at home or faced weaker opponents for the last six weeks.

Wide Receivers: Donnie Avery has the only touchdowns (5) that were caught by an active wideout for the team. Brandon Gibson and Danny Amendola have such minimal impact that they should just be classified as lightweight tight ends. Avery has never had more than 46 yards in any road game and the team has self-destructed since the start of the year. There are no fantasy plays from this unit.

Tight Ends: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points STL 29 24 24 20 30 30
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 31 19 32 19 24 6


Tennessee Titans (5 -7)
Homefield: LP Field
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @PIT 10-13 +5 37
2 HOU 31-34 -7 40.5
3 @NYJ 17-24 +2.5 37
4 @JAC 17-37 -3 41.5
5 IND 9-31 +3.5 46.5
6 @NE 0-59 +9.5 43
7 BYE - - -
8 JAC 30-13 -3 44
9 @SF 34-27 +4 41
10 BUF 41-17 -9 41
11 @HOU 20-17 +4 48.5-
12 ARI 20-17 -3.5 44.5
13 @IND 17-27 +6 47
14 STL - -13 41.5
15 MIA - - -
16 SD - - -
17 @SEA - - -
TEN vs STL Rush Catch Pass
QB Vince Young 30   160,1
RB Chris Johnson 130,2 20  
TE Bo Scaife   30  
WR Nate Washington   30  
WR Kenny Britt   50,1  
PK Rob Bironas 2 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Titans broke their five game winning streak but playing the Colts has done that to everyone this year. If nothing else, at least the Titans were more competitive this time. At 5-7 the playoffs are probably not going to happen but ending 8-8 or even 9-7 would be a major accomplishment after starting out 0-6. With three home games and a road trip to Seattle, don't count the Titans out of playing the spoiler.

Quarterback: Vince Young continues to score in every game he plays and against the Colts had his first two passing touchdown game of the year. Young has been less likely to run the tougher the opponent so this week could see an uptick in his rushing. Young may not need to throw much this week though since the Rams are unlikely to start any shootout.

Young has scored every week and should continue but his passing yardage is likely to tumble this week the same as almost every opponent of the Rams has.

Running Backs: Chris Johnson fell from the 125+ yard streak he had going for six straight games but he still had 113 rushing yards in Indianapolis and added 28 yards on six receptions. He remains the best fantasy running back and has been nearly unstoppable since Vince Young resumed the starting job.

The Rams have been run over more times than a McDonald's bag on the freeway. They have already allowed 17 touchdowns to opposing running backs and multiple scores for four players. With five runners already topping 100 rushing yards against them, figure on a big game from Johnson.

Wide Receivers: Nate Washington had been the designated scorer for wide receivers this year with five touchdowns but the rookie Kenny Britt has really taking a big step up in recent weeks. He has scored in each of the last three games and is now getting ten targets per week from Young. This offense has long needed a better game from the wide receivers and Britt is already starting to deliver on his promise.

This week there should be a passing score and it could go to either a wideout or Bo Scaife. I'll credit it to Britt since he has been the hot hand lately but it could go anywhere. The Rams should not limit Young in who he chooses.

One side note - the Titans have started using Lavelle Hawkins in the last two games and he's another rookie worth keeping an eye on for the future.

Tight Ends: Bo Scaife has figured in the passing game in recent weeks and comes off his first touchdown of the season. He not yet worth owning or starting, but if the trend holds he'll be a decent backup tight end pick next summer.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 24 5 27 17 13 22
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 17 28 12 17 6 29

The Huddle
WEEK 14
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Thursday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Sunday
Monday
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