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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
WEEK 16
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Friday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Sunday
Monday
*Updated

Prediction: CAR 17, NYG 27

The Panthers come off their best game of the year thumping the Vikings on Sunday night and giving at least the chance of an 8-8 season. But the Panthers are only 2-5 in road games. The Giants come off their domination over the Redskins on Monday night and at 8-6 still have a shot at post season play if they win out and get help.

Finally - the Steve Smith Bowl.

Carolina Panthers (6-8)
Homefield: Bank of America Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 PHI 10-38 +2.5 43.5
2 @ATL 20-28 +6 43
3 @DAL 7-21 +9 46
4 BYE - -3.5 37.5
5 WAS 20-17 -5 38
6 @TB 28-21 -3 39
7 BUF 9-20 -7 37
8 @ARI 34-21 10 43.5
9 @NO 20-30 +14 52
10 ATL 28-19 +1 43.5
11 MIA 17-24 -3 43.5
12 @NYJ 6-17 +3.5 41
13 TB 16-6 -3.5 40
14 @NE 10-20 +12.5 43.5
15 MIN 26-7 +9 42.5
16 @NYG - +7 42
17 NO - - -
CAR at NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Moore     180,1
RB Jonathan Stewart 80,1 20  
WR Steve Smith   80,1  
WR Muhsin Muhammad   40  
WR Kenneth Moore 40    
PK John Kasay 1 FG 2 XP  
Pregame Notes: Where ever the Panthers have been hiding that can of whoop-ass, they should make it more readily available instead of waiting until week 15 to break it out. The Panthers completely punked the Vikings in every aspect of the game and even made it a challenge for the announcers to find glowing things to say about Brett Favre. Matt Moore had a career game by a factor of two. But on the road this team has only scored 16 points over the last two games. The Panthers will catch a break in week 17 when the Saints will no doubt be resting players.

Quarterback: Matt Moore passed for 299 yards and three scores in the win over the Vikings but his two previous starts had only combined for one touchdown and neither exceeded 200 passing yards. Moore gets a chance this week to show it was not just a magic game last Monday.

Moore gets the benefit of playing against a secondary that has allowed the last four visitors to New York to throw for multiple touchdowns - though Moore is not quite yet to the level of Rivers, Ryan, Romo and McNabb. But this is a weaker secondary so Moore should manage to toss one touchdown here.

Running Backs: DeAngelo Williams sprained his left ankle last week and did not return to the game. The Panthers also provided no updates on his condition which more likely says he is still hurt. I will assume that he sits out this week and update if warranted.

Jonathan Stewart had no problems last week when he ran for 109 yards on 25 carries and added a second score as a receiver. This week will be interesting to watch since Stewart would be facing a defense that has not allowed more than 76 yards to any runner in New York this year. The Giants have given up six scores, but precious little yardage.

Expect a moderate game from Stewart with a chance of touchdown. If Williams plays, it will mostly serve to make either back irrelevant this week.

Wide Receivers: Steve Smith not only has six touchdowns on the season, he has all of the ones thrown to a wide receiver. No other wideout has scored and only rarely has accounted for more than 40 yards in a game. Smith connected very well with Matt Moore with nine receptions for 157 yards and one score. Again - it may have been just a gigantic "magic" game and this week need to dispute or confirm that.

The Giants secondary has been shaky in recent weeks and allowed seven scores to visiting wideouts. Early in the season this was a top unity but doesn't play like that anymore. Expect moderate games but Smith could pull down a few extra difference-making catches for you.

Tight Ends: The Giants sport the worst defense against tight ends but the Panthers rarely employ theirs more than one inconsequential catch. As bad as the Giants are against tight ends, the Panthers have no one to take advantage of them.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CAR 29 6 28 17 28 17
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 25 10 6 32 3 14


New York Giants (8-7)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 WAS 23-17 -6.5 37
2 @DAL 33-31 +3 43.5
3 @TB 24-0 -7 44
4 @KC 27-16 -9 42.5
5 OAK 44-7 -16.5 40.5
6 @NO 24-48 +3 47
7 ARI 17-24 -9 46.5
8 @PHI 17-40 +1 43
9 SD 20-21 -4 47.5
10 BYE - - -
11 ATL 34-31 -7 46
12 @DEN 6-26 -6.5 42
13 DAL 31-24 +1 45.5
14 PHI 38-45 +1 42.5
15 @WAS 45-12 -3 42
16 CAR - -7 42
17 @MIN - - -
NYG vs CAR Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning     220,1
RB Brandon Jacobs 60,1 10  
RB Ahmad Bradshaw 40,1 30  
TE Kevin Boss   50,1  
WR Steve Smith   60  
WR Mario Manningham   40  
PK Lawrence Tynes 2 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: The Giants have salvaged a season that was slipping away with wins over the Cowboys and Redskins and on Monday night, the Giants were dominating. At 8-7, they have to run the table now and should manage that with this hosting of the Panthers. The final game in Minnesota may rely on if the Vikings are resting players - a definite possibility. But even in that case - the Giants need some help to reach the playoffs.

Quarterback: After stumbling through a mid-season slump, Eli Manning has thrown for at least 240 yards and two scores in each of the last three games. His last four games in New York posted a total of ten touchdowns and two efforts over 300 passing yards. Manning has been his best in home games this year.

The Panthers have been very good against passers, allowing only 13 passing touchdowns this season and five teams were blanked in the passing game. The Panthers are worse against the run, so expect a lesser showing by Manning in this game with one score and moderate yardage.

Running Backs: Brandon Jacobs has been well off the pace of previous seasons and still has yet to gain over 100 yards in a game this year. He has scored five times with four coming in home games. He's no more than a moderate play each week and a shell of his former self.

Ahmad Bradshaw is partially to blame since he has sucked up three rushing touchdowns in the last two weeks and while he does not have big yardage games either, he drains away what Jacobs might do alone ( and vice-a-versa).

The Panthers run defense in the road has given up seven scores already and playing in New York already favors the running game. Look for two scores here - one for each since Jacobs only scores at home and Bradshaw scores everywhere. But the yardage split again is significant.

Wide Receivers: Hakeem Nicks injured his hamstring last week and could not finish the game. This a hamstring that has been a minor issue fro a few weeks and flared up during the game. I am holding Nicks out of the projections pending positive reports on his health.

Steve Smith and Mario Manningham face one of the best sets of cornerbacks in the league and should hold them to lesser numbers this week. The Panthers have only allowed three wideouts to score against them all year. Expect moderate yardage at best and likely no touchdowns for Smith or Manningham.

Tight Ends: Kevin Boss has really come on strongly in recent weeks and the coverage on Smith and Manningham is sure to push Manning to look for Boss who already has five touchdowns in just the last seven games. He should do no worse than good yardage and has a solid shot at a touchdown here.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 8 15 3 21 3 10
Preventing Fantasy Points CAR 4 26 3 12 10 31

The Huddle
WEEK 16
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Friday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Sunday
Monday
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