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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday Late

Prediction: DAL 23, WAS 17

Update: Devin Thomas has missed all practices this week and is doubtful to play. I have removed him from the projections.

The Cowboys shocked the NFL when they followed up two December losses with a win in New Orleans over the previously undefeated Saints. The win keeps Dallas in the hunt for a wildcard while the Redskins come off a humiliating loss on Monday night in New York. The Cowboys won 7-6 when the Redskins visited in week 11. It all depends on which Redskins show up this week - and which Cowboys.

Interesting side note - the Cowboys bring their new kicker Shaun Suisham to kick against his ex-employer. Both teams released their long time kickers after playing the Saints.

Dallas Cowboys (9-5)
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @TB 34-21 -5 39
2 NYG 31-33 -3 43.5
3 CAR 21-7 -9 46
4 @DEN 10-17 -3 43
5 @KC 26-20 -9 42.5
6 BYE - - -
7 ATL 37-21 -5.5 47.5
8 SEA 38-17 -10 46
9 @PHI 20-16 +3 47.5
10 @GB 7-17 -3 48
11 WAS 7-6 -11 41.5
12 OAK 24-7 -13.5 40.5
13 @NYG 24-31 -1 45.5
14 SD 17-20 -3.5 48.5
15 @NO 24-17 +7.5 53.5
16 @WAS - -6.5 42
17 PHI - - -
DAL at WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Tony Romo     260,2
RB Marion Barber 70 10  
RB Felix Jones 40 10  
TE Jason Witten   50  
WR Roy Williams   30,1  
WR Patrick Crayton   50  
WR Miles Austin   90,1  
PK Shaun Suisham 3 FG 2 XP  
Pregame Notes: Quite the coup last week in New Orleans and now a win here means the Cowboys can even challenge for the division in the final game of the year against the Eagles. Problem is that December has been a path to destruction for the Cowboys and the Redskins always play them tough. For the last three years, these teams have traded wins. But the Cowboys looked so good last week - and the Skins looked so bad.

Quarterback: Tony Romo threw for 312 yards and a score in New Orleans and he's been above 250 yards in every road game this year. He has 23 touchdowns against only seven interceptions and has seven efforts that topped 300 passing yards.

Romo passed for a season low 158 yards and one score in the previous meeting with the Redskins. In recent weeks though the Skins defense has been far less formidable and the last three quarterbacks to visit Washington passed for at least two touchdowns and had yardage up to 419 b7 Drew Brees. This is not the same Redskins team that opened the season or that played the Cowboys just six weeks ago. Look for solid yardage by Romo and likely two scores.

Running Backs: Both Cowboys runners had unusually good games last week.. Felix Jones had not rushed fro more than 22 yards in a road game but turned in 58 yards on 14 runs in New Orleans. Marion Barber had not scored since week eight but racked up two touchdowns with 62 rushing yards on 17 carries. This week needs to prove it that was just a magic game or if the duo have actually improved.

Jones gained 49 yards on ten runs against the Skins earlier this year while Barber rushed for 99 yards on 22 attempts. Neither scored.

The Redskins had not allowed any runner to score in Washington this year until Monday night when Ahmad Bradshaw tagged them for two touchdowns. Safest bet here is that neither runner scores - they have not been at all until last week - and the split ensures the yardage gained remains only moderate.

Wide Receivers: Miles Austin is still unstoppable. He had 139 yards and one score on seven receptions in New Orleans and that made it four straight games with a touchdown and 11 scores on the year. Roy Williams only had one catch last week as did Patrick Crayton.

Back in week 11, Austin only had four catches for 47 yards against the Redskins and Williams was held without any catches. Crayton caught the only touchdown in the entire game and it was on his only catch.

The Redskins secondary has taken a sharp dive down with seven passing scores allowed to wideouts of the last three teams. Three players have topped 100 yards there. If this game follows forms and trends, Austin is a near lock to score and Williams has a chance at redemption for the last meeting.

Tight Ends: Jason Witten has no role near the endzone but has been rock solid with over 40 yards each week and had over 100 yards in two of the last three games. Witten caught five passes for 43 yards against the Skins earlier this year.

Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 10 17 10 6 19 21
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 5 11 10 7 26 28

Washington Redskins (4-9)
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @NYG 17-23 +6.5 37
2 STL 9-7 -10 37
3 @DET 14-19 -6.5 38
4 TB 16-13 -7 37
5 @CAR 17-20 +5 38
6 KC 6-14 -6 37
7 PHI 17-27 +7 37.5
8 BYE - - -
9 @ATL 17-31 +10 41
10 DEN 27-17 +4 36
11 @DAL 6-7 +11 41.5
12 @PHI 24-27 +9.5 40.5
13 NO 30-33 +9 46.5
14 @OAK 34-13 -1 37.5
15 NYG 12-45 +4 41
16 DAL - +6.5 42
17 @SD - - -
WAS vs DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell     230,1
RB Quinton Ganther 50,1 20  
TE Fred Davis   40,1  
WR Santana Moss   60  
WR Antwaan Randle El   40  
WR Devin Thomas 40
PK Graham Gano 1 FG 2 XP  

Pregame Notes: It was inexplicable that the same team that ripped up the Raiders in Oakland would return home and play an interdivisional game at home like their dog had just died. There was no fire, no passion and nearly no offense against the G-Men who throttled the Redskins so badly it was hard to watch. Can they come back from that spanking? Does the distractions about a looming change in coaching staff demotivate them? The Redskins played better than they had all season against the Saints and Raiders. Once again, this game hinges on which Redskins team shows up.

Quarterback: Jason Campbell managed to lay the entire game but was beaten to a pulp by the Giants rush. He was sacked five times and hit multiples of that many. He passed for 192 yards and a score but had two interceptions.

Campbell passed for 256 yards in Dallas but never scored. He was intercepted once.

The Cowboys on the road have always allowed at least one touchdown to a quarterback but never more than two. Expect Campbell to pass for moderate numbers and one score but he could double everything if the old Campbell shows up.

Running Backs: Quinton Ganther was bottled up last week but still had a touchdown on his ten carries for 21 yards. That gives him three scores in the last two games though his yardage has been moderate at best.

Back in week 11, Rock Cartwright took the start and rushed for 67 yards on 13 carries in Dallas and added a season best 73 yards on seven catches. ganther remains the starter here ad Cartwright has been limited to just one carry in each of the last two games.

The Cowboys have only allowed six rushing scores against them this year and no runner has topped 100 rushing yards on them. This is already a pedestrian attack with Ganther as the starter so expect marginal yardage but a chance for one touchdown.

Wide Receivers: No changes here other than Devin Thomas regressing by having no catches last week. This unit only has six total touchdowns on the season and just two efforts that went over 100 yards. IN Dallas back in week 11, Santana Moss had 38 yards on five receptions and Thomas was held to only 33 yards on three catches. Antwaan Randle El is always a non-factor since he has never scored and remains below 50 yards in almost every game.

The Cowboys secondary has been good this year and only four wide outs have scored on them this year in a road game. With the passing game apparently disintegrating in Washington, figure on only marginal yardage and no scores from this group.

Tight Ends: Perhaps the lone bright spot has been how week Fred Davis has filled in for Chris Cooley. Davis has scored eight times this year and seven times over the last seven weeks. He's been every bit as good as Cooley was and has become the default outlet for Campbell. I like Davis to keep on, keeping on and score yet again this week. Davis only had 24 yards on two catches in the first meeting in Dallas.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 13 18 22 7 24 30
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 18 13 19 14 7 7

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