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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Late Sunday

Prediction: KC 10, DEN 27

Update: Brandon Marshall is out with a bad hamstring. Eddie Royal has now been called out with a bad neck.

The Broncos can still get into the playoffs but they no longer control their own destiny after their loss in Philadelphia. They most win here and have a multitude of other games ends in specific ways to advance. Fortunately this is at home versus the Chiefs. The Broncos already won 44-13 when the Chiefs visited Denver in week 13.

Kansas City Chiefs (3-12)
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @BAL 24-38 +12.5 36
2 OAK 10-13 -4 41
3 @PHI
+9.5 42.5
4 NYG 16-27 +9 42.5
5 DAL 20-26 +9 42.5
6 @WAS 14-6 +6 37
7 SD 7-37 +5.5 44
8 BYE - - -
9 @JAC 21-24 +6.5 42
10 @OAK 16-10 +1 48
11 PIT 27-24 +10.5 39.5
12 @SD 14-43 +13 44.5
13 DEN 13-44 +6 39
14 BUF 10-16 +1 38
15 CLE 34-41 -1 39
16 @CIN 10-17 +13 39.5
17 @DEN - +13 38
KC at DEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel     150
RB Jamaal Charles 90,1 30  
WR Dwayne Bowe   40  
WR Chris Chambers   40  
WR Mark Bradley   30  
PK Ryan Succop 1 FG 1 XP  
Pregame Notes: The Chiefs are on a five game losing streak and of course have lost their last three games by a touchdown or less. The first season of Matt Cassel could have gone better but at least the Chiefs know who the running back will be in week one of 2010. This will make a sixth straight loss and could be by a large margin. Not exactly the way HC Todd Haley was hoping his first season would wrap up.

Quarterback: Matt Cassel came over from the Patriots where he had almost 4000 yards passing and 23 scores but playing without Wes Welker and Randy Moss has left him with 2906 yards and just 16 touchdowns this year. He also pulled from the last game with the Broncos when he only completed 10 of 29 passes for 84 yards and two interceptions. Brodie Croyl fared no better.

This week in Denver will be even tougher though with the Broncos motivated to win. The Chiefs want to focus on getting Jamal Charles to 1000 yards so Cassel may have a very minimal role this week.

Running Backs: If nothing else, the Chiefs have made progress in the rushing game when they dumped Larry Johnson and let Jamaal Charles loose. While he only took over in week nine, Charles has 861 yards on the season and the Chiefs want him to gain the final 139 yards - what else do they have to play for?

But it will be tough since only Rashard Mendenhall rushed for that much against the Broncos. Charles gained 56 yards and a score on 18 carries in the matchup in Kansas City so expected to almost triple that in Denver may be optimistic. He has been highly productive for the last five games with one exception - against the Broncos.

Wide Receivers: The season was partially salvaged with the acquisition of Chris Chambers and Dwayne Bowe is back from suspension but facing the Broncos won't be a nice ending for the Chiefs wideouts. Back in week 13, Bowe was out and Chambers only managed to catch two passes for 11 yards. The best any receiver had in that game was Bobby Wade's 36 yards on four catches.

No wideout has much fantasy relevance this week.

Tight Ends: No fantasy value.

Gaining Fantasy Points KC 24 27 18 28 24 28
Preventing Fantasy Points DEN 3 13 5 6 24 12

Denver Broncos (8-7)
Homefield: Invesco Field
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @CIN 12-7 +5 42.5
2 CLE 27-6 -3 38
3 @OAK 23-3 -1.5 35.5
4 DAL 17-10 +3 43
5 NE 20-17 +3.5 41.5
6 @SD 34-23 +3.5 44
7 BYE - - -
8 @BAL 7-30 +4.5 42.5
9 PIT 10-28 +3 49
10 @WAS 17-27 -3.5 36
11 SD 3-32 +6.5 41.5
12 NYG 26-6 +6.5 42
13 @KC 44-13 -6 39
14 @IND 16-28 +6.5 43.5
15 OAK 19-20 -13.5 37
16 @PHI 27-30 +7 43
17 KC - -13 38
DEN vs KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Kyle Orton     180,1
RB Knowshon Moreno 110,2 10  
TE Tony Scheffler 20
WR Brandon Marshall 100,1
WR Jabar Gaffney   60,1  
WR Eddie Royal 40
WR Brandon Stokley   40  
PK Matt Prater 2 FG 3 XP  

Pregame Notes: The first year of Josh McDaniels started out great, hit a rough spot and now is finishing up with a chance for a winning record and a playoff berth should all the AFC dominos fall in favor of the Broncos. Kyle Orton has generally met expectations while Brandon Marshall has exceeded all of his. The addition of Knowshon Moreno has been a positive though his impact has been marginal in most games. Still, the team is headed in the right direction and has the talent to continue to improve.

Quarterback: Kyle Orton comes into this week with 3371 passing yards and 20 touchdowns - about average. He has picked up the pace in recent weeks though and had eight touchdowns in just the last four games. He has also only thrown for nine interceptions and has been good at implementing the new offense.

Orton passed for 180 yards and two scores in Kansas City. He should about the same this week but could be impacted by a desire to get more work for Moreno. It is safe to say that Orton will not need to have a shootout to win this game.

Running Backs: To the great dismay of fantasy owners, Knowshon Moreno has not been allowed a full time load thanks to Correll Buckhalter has 114 carries for 624 yards on the season. Moreno has run 233 times for 897 yards and is only 103 yards short of a 1000 yard season. Back in week 13, Moreno rushed for 86 yards and two scores on 21 carries in Kansas City so merely gaining 14 more yards at home should be in order.

The Chiefs have been very soft against the run so look for Moreno to have a nice game here and even Buckhalter could get involved as well.

Wide Receivers: Brandon Marshall is winding down a season that started rocky but is ending up heavenly since he'll be negotiating a new contract after already having 101 catches for 1120 yards and ten touchdowns this season. Eddie Royal completely fell off the map and missed last week with a bad neck but he has never scored and has only 345 yards on the season. Jabar Gaffney has been more productive with his 519 yards and two scores.

Back in week 13, Marshall turned in 94 yards and one score on seven receptions in Kansas City. Expect him to end the regular season with nothing less.

Tight Ends: Tony Scheffler has been marginally productive this year and has 416 yards and two scores so far. Scheffler only had one catch for 19 yards in the first meeting with the Chiefs.

Gaining Fantasy Points DEN 20 24 13 24 8 5
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 21 29 14 18 30 25

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