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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Late Sunday

Prediction: NYG 17, MIN 31

Update: Vishante Shiancoe is a game time deicision. The Vikings confirmed they intend to play this game 100% through with the starters.

The Giants have lost their shot at the playoffs and looked wholly inept when the Panthers visited and spanked them in New York in a game they had to win. The Giants are 4-3 in road games and now just playing for pride, at least any that may be left once Matt Moore and the Panthers embarrassed the G-Men in their final game in Giants Stadium. The Vikings were humbled last week as well when they lost to the Bears and they too were trumped by the Panthers.

Most notable stat here - the Vikings are 7-0 at home. And they need to win.

New York Giants (8-7)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 WAS 23-17 -6.5 37
2 @DAL 33-31 +3 43.5
3 @TB 24-0 -7 44
4 @KC 27-16 -9 42.5
5 OAK 44-7 -16.5 40.5
6 @NO 24-48 +3 47
7 ARI 17-24 -9 46.5
8 @PHI 17-40 +1 43
9 SD 20-21 -4 47.5
10 BYE - - -
11 ATL 34-31 -7 46
12 @DEN 6-26 -6.5 42
13 DAL 31-24 +1 45.5
14 PHI 38-45 +1 42.5
15 @WAS 45-12 -3 42
16 CAR 9-41 -9 43
17 @MIN - -9 47.5
NYG at MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning     280,2
RB Ahmad Bradshaw 60 10  
TE Kevin Boss   40,1  
WR Steve Smith   80,1  
WR Hakeem Nicks   90  
WR Mario Manningham   50  
PK Lawrence Tynes 1 FG 2 XP  
Pregame Notes: Tough loss last week but it only sped up what would happen this week. The Giants end up with a below average rushing attack that had been as good as #1 in previous years. Eli Manning actually finishes with a career best season as a function of that inability to run the ball and the youngest set of wide receivers in the league made some progress as well. The year was a disappointment but for a team processing a lot of change, there was some progress.

Quarterback: Eli Manning quietly had the best fantasy season of his career with a shot at 4000 passing yards and already 27 touchdowns for a career best mark as well. Manning did this with only 13 interceptions and had a career best four 300 yard games and nine efforts with two or more scores.

No visitor has passed for more than two scores in Minnesota and the yardage has been lower since midseason. Look for Manning to wrap up with decent stats this week - likely two scores and decent yardage since the rushing game will be even worse than usual.

Running Backs: Brandon Jacobs had a "sore and swollen" knee during the Panthers loss and only had six carries. I will assume he is held out and Jacobs is finishing his worst season since 2006 despite having a career high 255 carries. He only gained 835 yards and scored only five times.

Ahmad Bradshaw will take the start and he too is playing while injured with a cracked bone in his foot but it has not gotten any worse and the Giants are running out of running backs anyway. Bradshaw has never had more than 14 carries in any game this year though and has remained less than 60 yards in almost every game. His role as receiver never materialized with just 19 receptions so far.

The Vikings at home have only allowed two runners to score and never given up a 100 yard effort this year. Expect mediocre numbers from Bradshaw even as the primary back.

Wide Receivers: The Giants entered the year with major question marks after dumping all the veterans and going with a complete youth movement for receivers but the results where the best success of the season. Steve Smith already has 97 catches for 1163 yards and seven scores - all team high marks. Mario Manningham has 822 yards and five scores and Hakeem Nicks churned out 795 yards and six touchdowns. This was a very productive unit with plenty of room to grow next year when they are all experienced.

The Vikings are allowing about one score for a wideout per team and the Giants will have to rely on the group to stay in the game. Smith or Nicks should get the touchdown here but neither have a higher confidence level for it.

Tight Ends: Kevin Boss has been a part of the passing as well with half his games coming in with more than 40 yards and he has five scores on the year. The Vikes are one of the worst teams against the position so Boss stands a decent shot at a score this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 8 18 3 21 3 14
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 26 3 19 30 13 14

Minnesota Vikings (11-4)
Homefield: Metrodome
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @CLE 34-20 +3.5 40
2 @DET 27-13 -10 47
3 SF 27-24 -7 40.5
4 GB 30-20 -3.5 46
5 @STL 38-10 -10 39
6 BAL 33-31 -3 44.5
7 @PIT 17-27 +6 46.5
8 @GB 38-26 +3.5 46.5
9 BYE - - -
10 DET 27-10 17 47.5
11 SEA 35-9 -10.5 47
12 CHI 36-10 -10 47
13 @ARI 17-30 +3.5 48
14 CIN 30-10 -6 42.5
15 @CAR 7-26 -9 42.5
16 @CHI 30-36 -7 41
17 NYG - +9 47.5
MIN vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Brett Favre     250,2
RB Adrian Peterson 90,2 20  
TE Vishante Shiancoe   20,1  
WR Bernard Berrian   40  
WR Sidney Rice   80  
WR Percy Harvin   80,1  
PK Ryan Longwell 1 FG 4 XP  

Pregame Notes: Tough loss last week and yet still the announcers droned on about Brett Favre. The Vikings need to solve their problem on the road but once they win this game and get a bye, they'll likely have a dome game in New Orleans in week three so their days of playing in the cold may be over - if that was a contributor. The decline of the defense has been the main culprit in the losses and that could be a problem this week. The Vikings must win this week.

Quarterback: Brett Favre heads to yet another Pro Bowl thanks to continual promotion by every talking head in a sports show. This week he gets the visiting Giants who should help him back to his multiple touchdown ways that has been missing during the last two losses. Favre has always scored in home games and had turned in his best efforts at home.

The Giants have only been average in the secondary in recent weeks thanks to injuries and Favre should wind up with a decent game of two or more scores and decent yardage.

Running Backs: Adrian Peterson has 15 rushing scores going into this week but only two games with more than 100 rushing yards though he tops 100 total yards regularly thanks to receptions. If Chester Taylor was there to take five to ten rushes per week, Peterson would produce more like the back that fantasy teams thought they were getting last summer. Peterson has been good - he leads the league in rushing scores - but he has not been the superstar expected. Chris Johnson is going for 2000 rushing yards this week. Peterson only has 1329 rush yards entering this final game.

The Giants have been good against the run in yardage but have given up nine rushing touchdowns in only seven road games. Peterson should notch at least one score here if not two.

Wide Receivers: The addition of Favre has really allowed this group to blossom. Sidney Rice already has 1200 yards and six scores on 77 catches and the rookie Percy Harvin has 731 yards and six touchdowns as well. Bernard Berrian is the veteran but comes in third with just 472 yards and three touchdowns.

The Giants have been softer against the pass on the road and this group should come up with a touchdown if only because they can. That should favor Harvin slightly but Rice is a good start here as well.

Tight Ends: Vishanthe Shiancoe hurt his ankle last week but is expected to be fine for this game. He better since he already has ten touchdowns and now faces the #32 defense against tight ends.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 10 4 8 12 6 10
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 23 15 6 32 7 15

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