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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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The Huddle
WEEK 17
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Late Sunday
 
 
*updated

Prediction: TEN 24, SEA 14

The Titans come off another loss but at least a win here would give them a .500 record at 8-8 - quite an accomplishment after opening 0-6. The Seahawks look like they started mailing it in three weeks ago.

Tennessee Titans (7-8)
Homefield: LP Field
Grass
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 @PIT 10-13 +5 37
2 HOU 31-34 -7 40.5
3 @NYJ 17-24 +2.5 37
4 @JAC 17-37 -3 41.5
5 IND 9-31 +3.5 46.5
6 @NE 0-59 +9.5 43
7 BYE - - -
8 JAC 30-13 -3 44
9 @SF 34-27 +4 41
10 BUF 41-17 -9 41
11 @HOU 20-17 +4 48.5-
12 ARI 20-17 -3.5 44.5
13 @IND 17-27 +6 47
14 STL 47-7 -13.5 40
15 MIA 27-24 -4.5 42.5
16 SD 17-42 -3 47.5
17 @SEA - -4.5 43.5
TEN at SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Vince Young     140,1
RB Chris Johnson 235,2 10  
TE Bo Scaife   30  
WR Justin Gage   30  
WR Nate Washington   40  
WR Kenny Britt   20,1  
PK Rob Bironas 1 FG 3 XP  
Pregame Notes: The season winds down and the Titans have much to point at for progress this year. Vince Young has returned with stellar results - a better passer, a bit less likely to just run. The rookie Kenny Britt could become the #1 wideout that has been missing since Derrick Mason left. And Chris Johnson is going to shoot for the record books with a 2000 yard season. The Titans will be a team to watch out for in 2010, particularly if they beef up their defense.

Quarterback: Vince Young produced about four very good games this year and ends with 1708 yards and 10 passing scores against six interceptions over nine starts. More importantly he took command of the team and played his brand of football - good enough to get the win whatever that takes. His production was limited mostly by Chris Johnson.

This week no reason to expect more than maybe one score and marginal passing yards. This final game is all about Chris Johnson.

Running Backs: Chris Johnson is aiming to hit some big marks this week since all he needs is 128 yards away from a 2000 rushing yard season. He is 234 rushing yards away from breaking Eric Dickerson's all-time rushing mark of 2105 yards. And with just 126 total yards, Johnson breaks Marshall Faulk's all-time mark of 2492 yards from scrimmage.

So far his season best was 228 yards against the Jaguars. He is currently on a ten game streak of over 100 rushing yards. But the Seahawks have not allowed more than 97 rushing yards to a runner this year - except for Frank Gore who gained 207 yards in week two. Seattle has already thrown the towel in for the year and the Titans will all be committed to this mark in lieu of any other accomplishment this year. He breaks 2000.

Let's see if Dickerson sweats at all.

Wide Receivers: This group has always been spotty in production and this week is all about Johnson running. There should be at least one passing score to this group - the Seahawks are only #30 against wideouts. But there will be minimal yardage attached and it could go to either of the three receivers. I'll pick Britt mostly to pick someone - no real confidence attached.

Tight Ends: Bo Scaife winds down the season with 43 catches for 426 yards but only scored once this year. He's never been much more than a bye week replacement.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 21 7 27 18 9 13
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 27 26 30 22 20 21


Seattle Seahawks (5-10)
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score Spread Over/Under
1 STL 28-0 -7.5 37
2 @SF 10-23 +1.5 39.5
3 CHI 19-25 +2 37
4 @IND 17-34 +10 43.5
5 JAC 41-0 +3 40
6 ARI 3-27 -3 47
7 BYE - - -
8 @DAL 17-38 +10 46
9 DET 32-20 -10 43
10 @ARI 20-31 +9 47
11 @MIN 9-35 +10.5 47
12 @STL 27-17 -3.5 42.5
13 SF 20-17 -1 41.5
14 @HOU 7-34 +7 44.5
15 TB 7-24 -6.5 39
16 @GB 10-48 +13.5 43.5
17 TEN - +4.5 43.5
SEA vs TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck     240,2
RB Justin Forsett 50 30  
TE John Carlson   40,1  
WR T. J. Houshmandzadeh   60,1  
WR Deon Butler   30  
WR Deion Branch   50  
PK Olindo Mare   2 XP  

Pregame Notes: Hard not to argue the Seahawks have already thrown in the towel. In the last three games, they have never scored more than ten points and yet never allowed less than 24. That's a combined 24 - 106 in just three games. Next year could find a very different team up to and including Matt Hasselbeck. The only addition this season was T. J. Houshmandzadeh who has been a $40 million bust.

Quarterback: During this late season meltdown, Matt Hasselbeck has not thrown for more than 250 yards and a score and now Nate Burleson is likely to miss this game. Hasselbeck is also the subject of speculation that he may end up following Mike Holmgren to Cleveland but for this week, expect just another disappointing outing from Hasselbeck.

Running Backs: Julius Jones injured his ribs and ankle last week and is questionable to play this finale. Chances are that he has played his last for the Seahawks so featuring Justin Forsett makes more sense to see what he can do and help with the decision making process in the offseason.

Forsett did have a couple of nice games with over 120+ rushing yards against the Rams and Cardinals but has done almost nothing outside of the division. During this late game slide, both Jones and Forsett have done little but at least without Jones in the picture, Forsett should have decent yardage with receiving included.

Wide Receivers: Nate Burleson will miss the final game with a bad ankle but he has been the most productive of the Seattle wideouts this year. T. J. Houshmandzadeh came over in the offseason as the pricey free agent but has done nothing reminiscent of his days in Cincy as a touchdown magnet. He only had 812 yards on 63 catches with three touchdowns - roughly the same as Burleson did in two less games. Deion Branch will fill in for Burleson again but that has not resulted in anything more than about 50 yards in a game with no scores.

I like one score to the wideouts - the Titans are weakest here and rank worst in the league. That favors Houshmandzadeh but only marginally and with very little confidence.

Tight Ends: After a season of nearly no use, this late season slide has seen John Carlson step up and score in each of the last three games. With Hasselbeck needing to throw again this week, I like Carlson to make it four in a row.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 19 12 14 23 20 27
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 31 25 32 27 21 4

The Huddle
WEEK 17
~ 2009 ~
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday
 
 
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